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Preview Of The Abu Dhabi HSBC Golf Championship

Following back-to-back events in South Africa, the European Tour will make the move to the Middle East with the action set to pick up beginning with the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship this week. Some of the biggest names in the world will make their 2016 European Tour debut including, of course, the World No. 1 Jordan Spieth. He’ll be looking to pick up from where he left off on the other side of the world (coming off a win in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions) when he takes to the Abu Dhabi Golf Club.

Event Details

Event: 2016 Abu Dhabi HSBC Golf Championship

Category: European

Date: January 21st – January 24th

Location: Abu Dhabi Golf Club, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

This will be the 11th edition of this event and a look at the recent history of the tournament shows how wide open it has been. Last year, Gary Stal delivered in a big way with the best score we’ve ever seen at Abu Dhabi, but a field that is absolutely loaded at the top will do its best to make sure that he doesn’t win it again in 2016.

Last Five Winners

Year Champion Score

2015 – Gary Stal -19

2014 – Pablo Larrazabal -14

2013 – Jamie Donaldson -14

2012 – Robert Rock -13

2011 – Martin Kaymer -24

What To Know About The Course

The Abu Dhabi Golf Club has been in existence since 1998 and it is well known as a long, flat and heavily bunkered course. The rough is usually over-seeded with Rye grass. It isn’t an easy course by any means, but the renewal on the greens on holes two, four, 11 and 12 should help to a certain degree.

The Field

The field for this event is absolutely stacked – including two of the top golfers in the world in Spieth and Rory McIlroy. Those two will be the co-favorites, but they aren’t the only golfers worth keeping a close eye on as Henrik Stenson and Martin Kaymer will be back in action, both of whom are also golfers in the top six of the World Rankings. Last year’s winner, Gary Stal, will try to defend his title after edging out McIlroy by a stroke last year but that’s the only European Tour on his resume. He’s just one of four returning champions but he is considered a huge long shot to repeat at this year’s tournament.

In total, we’ll see eight former major champions in Abu Dhabi, including the likes of Ernie Els, Martin Kaymer, Darren Clarke, Trevor Immelman, Mike Weir and Paul Lawrie. There are also 87 European Tour winners with six players that have previously been No. 1 on the European Tour.

A Good Matchup To Bet

Rory McIlroy -160 over Rickie Fowler

McIlroy is listed as a co-favorite for this event for multiple reasons and one of the most important is the fact that he ranked No. 1 in Greens in Regulation last season. McIlroy finished as the runner-up here 12 months ago and his consistency will be key as he looks for the win. He might not have what it takes to edge out Spieth, but at the very least he should be able to beat out Fowler, who doesn’t offer much appeal from a betting perspective. He is still matched up with McIlroy for this event and is worth fading here.

Top Five Prediction

Jordan Spieth

Spieth is listed as the co-favorite and while McIlroy has the experience playing on the European Tour there is absolutely no reason to doubt Spieth after the fine form that he showed at Kapalua when he opened 2016 with a victory at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions. Spieth doesn’t have a single notable weakness and his incredible all-around game should help offset the fact that he isn’t very familiar with this course. He tends to play better when the competition is tougher, and that’s the case here. He’ll be challenged. There isn’t any reason to expect a drop off in his performance from a week ago, so look for him to deliver with at least a top-five finish at Abu Dhabi.

Odds To Win At Abu Dhabi

Rory McIlroy +405

Jordan Spieth +450

Rickie Fowler +1415

Henrik Stenson +1415

Branden Grace +1815

Martin Kaymer +1815

Danny Willett +3050

Matthew Fitzpatrick +3250

Ian Poulter +3250

Byeong Hun An +3250

Lee Westwood +3550

Victor Dubuisson +3550

Andy Sullivan +4050

Thongchai Jaidee +5500

Thomas Pieters +4550

Kiradech Aphibarnrat +5500

Bernd Wiesberger +4050

Chris Wood +6550

Joost Luiten +6550

Ross Fisher +6550

George Coetzee +6550

Russell Knox +6550

Thorbjorn Olesen +7050

Brandon Stone +7550

Lucas Bjerregaard +8550

Bryson DeChambeau +8550

Rafael Cabrera Bello +8550

Peter Uihlein +9050

Kristoffer Broberg +9050

Anthony Wall +9050

 

Written by Geoff Harvey

Geoff Harvey has been creating odds and betting models since his days in the womb, just don't ask him how he used to get his injury reports back then. Harvey contributes a wealth of quality and informational content that is a valuable resource for any handicapper.

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