We have crushed the FCS betting lines throughout the course of the year, and we came through big when it mattered the most in the first round of the playoffs. Our picks from last week went 7-1 ATS, and we are now 29-8-1 ATS on the year. That record sounds like something a tout would falsely claim, but everything has been fully documented at GetMoreSports over the course of the season. We have been locked in all year, and we are looking for another big week.
Week 1 Record: 3-1 ATS
Week 2 Record: 3-0 ATS
Week 3 Record: 1-1 ATS
Week 4 Record: 1-1-1 ATS
Week 5 Record: 3-0 ATS
Week 6 Record: 3-0 ATS
Week 7 Record: 1-1 ATS
Week 8 Record: 1-1 ATS
Week 9 Record: 2-0 ATS
Week 10 Record: 2-0 ATS
Week 11 Record: 0-2 ATS
Week 12 Record: 2-0 ATS
First Round Record: 7-1 ATS
FCS Playoffs Second Round Betting Odds (Courtesy of BetDSI)
Maine +3 vs. Jacksonville State, O/U 50.5
This spread opened with the Gamecocks as a touchdown favorite on the FCS betting line, but money has since come in on Maine. The Black Bears ended up winning the toughest conference in the country and earned a national seed because of it, yet they avoided many of the top teams in the CAA. They didn’t have to play James Madison, Delaware, or Stony Brook, and they weren’t that impressive against the conference’s other playoff teams (Towson and Elon).
We likely would have made a play on the total if the line was still seven, but getting a talented Jacksonville State team that is peaking at the right time at -3 is too good to pass up.
Pick: Jacksonville State -3
Colgate +7 vs. James Madison, O/U 36.5
Our intention was to play a side or a total in every FCS playoff game this year, and we were all set to lay the points with the Dukes prior to Wednesday’s news regarding Mike Houston. It looks like Houston has one foot out the door, and he has offers from East Carolina and Charlotte to move up to the FBS level at the end of the season. That has turned this one into a stayaway for us, as the sportsbooks have been smart with the total too. If you made us, we’d take the under anyways, but we’d rather just punt here.
Pick: No Play
Kennesaw State -7.5 vs. Wofford, O/U 49
We’re big believers in the Owls here. Kennesaw State has taken enormous strides over the last two years, and this is one of the three or four best teams in the country. Others are down on this team due to the tight game with Jacksonville State at the end of the season, but we believe in the Gamecocks so that is a lot easier for us to overlook. Wofford’s triple option offense generally runs out of steam at this point in the season, and Kennesaw State knows how to stop it.
Pick: Kennesaw State -7.5
South Dakota State -24.5 vs. Duquesne, O/U 61
Rain severely impacted Duquesne’s tilt with Towson last week, and it could play a factor against South Dakota State. There is rain in the forecast in Brookings, and that gives us a bit of trepidation about making a play here. However, Taryn Christion should light up Duquesne’s defense as long as the weather isn’t awful, so we’re going to tentatively lay the chalk here.
Pick: South Dakota State -24.5
North Dakota State -28.5 vs. Montana State, O/U 50
Everyone knows how good the Bison are. North Dakota State has dominated the FCS this decade, and FBS foes know better than to schedule this team now. The Bison are virtually unbeatable in the Fargodome, and it would take a miracle for Montana State to pull off the upset here. It’s tempting to lay the points with the Bison here, but instead we’re going to take the under. We don’t think Montana State will crack double digits, yet this is a big number to cover.
Pick: Under 50
Weber State -11 vs. Southeast Missouri State, O/U 46.5
We were eagerly awaiting the chance to bet either the under or Stony Brook against Weber State this week, but SEMO rose up to upset the Seawolves last week. That was more due to Stony Brook tripping over its own feet than anything else though, as SEMO finished with just 240 total yards of offense. We’re happy to readjust and take the under given the strength of Weber State’s defense.
Pick: Under 46.5
Eastern Washington -20.5 vs. Nicholls State, O/U 62
This is too many points to give Nicholls State. The Colonels have looked strong over the last month, and while Eastern Washington might be able to stop their ground game, Chase Fourcade has proven himself to be a competent passer. Eastern Washington will still win, but Nicholls will stay within three touchdowns.
Pick: Nicholls State +20.5
UC Davis -9 vs. Northern Iowa, O/U 55.5
The Aggies turnaround has been a great story, but that feel good feeling is about to come to an end. Our upset special of the week is Northern Iowa to knock off UC Davis. There’s a reason the Panthers got into the playoffs at 6-5, and they are more battle tested than any other team. They outlasted Lamar even with a horrible game from Eli Dunne last week, and they should play much better this week.
Pick: Northern Iowa +9
