A 1-0 defeat against Belgium led England to Colombia in the Round of 16, while both sides are in the arguably weaker half of the bracket, so their clash set for Tuesday, July 3rd, 2018, at Spartak Stadium in Moscow should be a pure classic. The winner will face Sweden or Switzerland in the Quarter-Finals, so the stake is huge in this one.
Colombia vs. England
3-Way: 1: Colombia +300; X: +230 Draw; 2: England +110 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread +0.5: Colombia -122; England +110
Total +2: Over +100; Under -115
Both Teams to Score Yes/No: +120/-164
COLOMBIA
Los Cafeteros had some turbulent time in the Group H after an opening 2-1 defeat against Japan, but they managed to bounce back and defeat both Poland 3-0 and Senegal 1-0 to proceed to the knock-out phase. They were impressive in the match with Poland, and if Jose Pekerman’s boys replicate this performance in the Round of 16, England will have a tough task to beat them.
Colombia possesses a high work rate, mostly relying on a sturdy defense, while at the front, the trio Radamel Falcao – James Rodriguez – Juan Cuadrado provides scoring opportunities for Los Cafeteros who always try to stick with a simple direct-passing style of play. At the back, they have a couple of young guns in Davinson Sanchez and Yerry Mina who scored the winning goal against Senegal. The biggest concern for the Colombians at this moment is James Rodriguez injury, as the 26-year old playmaker is still doubtful for the clash with England, and his absence would be a massive blow for Los Cafeteros.
- Colombia is a +2200 underdog to beat the 2018 World Cup
- Colombia is at +300 to reach the Semi-Final
- Colombia is at +400 to be eliminated by a penalty shootout
ENGLAND
The Three Lions have finished at the second place of the Group G table behind Belgium after losing 1-0 to the Red Devils in the ultimate game of the group stage, but it seemed like they want to finish second and go to the half of bracket where only Spain appears like a heavyweight opponent. England has trashed Panama 6-1, while Three Lions were pretty lucky to beat Tunisia 2-1 after missing plenty of chances during the match.
The captain Harry Kane has bagged a terrific brace against Tunisia, while he’s scored a hat-trick against Panama, converting a couple of penalty kicks along with an accidental third goal, so he’s the strongest candidate to win the Golden Boot at +175. The manager Gareth Southgate is certainly satisfied with his team’s performance at the 2018 World Cup thus far, as Three Lions look like a sturdy side with plenty of options in the final third, while set-pieces situations are their strongest weapon.
- England is at +750 to beat the 2018 World Cup
- England is a +130 favorite to reach the Semi-Final
- England is at +350 to be eliminated by a penalty shootout
Colombia vs. England – Match and Odds Breakdown
This is arguably the most difficult encounter of the last 16 to predict the final outcome, although England is considered as a clear +110 favorite by BetDSI Sportsbook to grab a win after the end of the regular time. However, I wouldn’t be surprised to see an extra-time if Colombia put on a strong defensive performance, while -110 odds on a draw at the halftime look quite tempting.
England is at -200 to qualify for the Quarter-Finals even after the penalty shootout, so this could be a nice wager for the bettors with a fat piggy bank. Betting on the totals should be a tricky job, although the bookmakers expect to see a tight game, setting the wages at -213 on the under 2.5 goals in total. All in all, there’s no easy money in this one, but I’m backing England to win the clash, particularly if James Rodriguez has to miss the game due to an injury.
The Pick: England (+110)
Additional Pick: Draw at HT (-110)
