The Pittsburgh Pirates will be taking on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will be airing this NL matchup. The game gets underway at 9:40 p.m. ET.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Vegas has listed Pittsburgh (+125) as the underdog to Arizona (-135). Bettors are able to wager on the game’s total with odds listed at -120 for over 9 runs and even money (+100) for under 9. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Pirates +1.5 runs (-170) and Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (+150).
The Diamondbacks are 36-29 SU and 33-31 ATS. They’ve gained 7.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.4 units against the spread (ATS). Arizona has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Pirates have gone 32-34 SU this year and are 29-36 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Neither squad has been a strong over/under bet this year. Arizona games have an over/under record of 30-32-2 so far in 2018. Pirates games have gone over 30 times, gone under 29 times and pushed on six occasions.
The right-handed Trevor Williams is the probable starter for Pittsburgh. Williams is 5-3 with a 4.18 ERA and 49 strikeouts. This is his first start against Arizona this year. He made two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 1-0 record with a 1.64 ERA and seven strikeouts.
The Diamondbacks are going with righty Clay Buchholz (1-1, 1.88 ERA), who’s got 21 strikeouts and three walks to his credit, as well as a 0.83 WHIP. Buchholz did not record a start against the Pirates in 2017.
Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.13 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.65 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.50, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
Pirates hitters have slashed .252/.326/.411 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte continue to lead Pittsburgh’s offense. Dickerson is hitting .313/.347/.472 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Marte is hitting .283 with seven homers, 27 RBIs, 34 runs and 13 stolen bases.
For the home team, Arizona’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.97, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.53, a WHIP of 1.11 and a K/9 of 7.8.
Arizona’s hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 6.9 per game over its last 10 games and 8.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .293/.387/.554 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have led the Diamondbacks’ hitters this year. Peralta is slashing .275/.337/.472 with 11 home runs, 31 RBIs and 28 runs scored, and Goldschmidt’s line is .253/.361/.502 with 12 homers, 31 RBIs and 43 runs.
The Pirates have lost 0.9 units and are 24-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 2.9 units and are 19-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve gone under.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER
Notes
Betting Trends
Arizona has posted 25.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 30.0 over its last five.
The Pirates have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
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