The Atlanta Braves are playing host to the New York Mets at SunTrust Park. The matchup will be nationally televised on ESPN and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:35 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Odds
New York (+145) is the underdog against Atlanta (-155) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -150 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +130 for the Braves -1.5 runs.
The Mets are 28-34 SU and are 28-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.0 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 37-28 SU and 35-29 ATS. The team has gained 14.1 units for moneyline bettors and 3.8 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Atlanta games have a 30-31-3 over/under record so far in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 25-35-1.
Zack Wheeler will get the start for New York. The right-handed Wheeler is 2-4 with a 4.57 ERA and 62 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Braves are turning to righty Mike Foltynewicz (5-4, 2.31 ERA), who has 88 strikeouts and 33 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.19. Foltynewicz did not record a start against the Mets in 2017.
Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.52 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.91 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 39 divisional games, Braves starters have an ERA of 2.96 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.95.
Atlanta’s hitters are putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .272/.311/.478 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have led the Braves’ offense this year. Freeman is hitting .340/.430/.568 with 12 home runs, 45 RBIs, 41 runs and six steals, while Markakis is hitting .327 with eight homers, 43 RBIs and 41 runs scored.
For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.72 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.58 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.47, along with a WHIP of 1.26.
The Mets offense has slashed .230/.310/.375 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is hitting .283/.323/.498 with 11 home runs, 36 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Rosario (.244/.275/.353) is up to three homers, 18 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 4.8 units and are 20-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 9.9 units and are 26-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, compared to 22 that went under.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Mets have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
New York has posted 12.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 10.6 over its last five.
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