The San Francisco Giants will play the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Fox SportsNet Florida will broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
San Francisco Giants at Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (+105) is coming into this one as the underdog against San Francisco (-115) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (+105 for the under and -125 for the over). Runline odds stand at +130 for taking the Giants -1.5 runs and -150 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Giants are 33-33 SU and have gone 38-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 7.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.7 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 24-42 SU and 32-33 ATS. The team has lost 5.7 units for moneyline bettors and 8.3 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Miami games have a 32-33 over/under record so far in 2018. San Francisco has an over/under record of 33-30-2.
The right-handed Chris Stratton will get the nod for San Francisco. Stratton is 7-3 with a 4.63 ERA and 58 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of Trevor Richards (0-3, 5.02 ERA, 1.50 WHIP), who’s got 28 strikeouts and 14 walks. Richards did not pitch in the majors last season.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.60, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 5.28 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.
The Miami offense is putting up 3.5 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .186/.274/.308 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ offense has been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is slashing .310/.383/.448 with four home runs, 32 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Castro’s line is .285/.332/.395 with three homers, 24 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.69 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.08 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.89, along with a K/9 of 8.52.
The Giants offense has slashed .263/.326/.419 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen have led San Francisco’s offense. Crawford is slashing .333/.382/.529 with eight home runs, 31 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while McCutchen (.264/.355/.438) has produced six homers, 30 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 4.3 units and are 22-26 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
San Francisco has recorded 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.2 over its last five.
The Giants have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
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