The Philadelphia Phillies will head west to Miller Park to face the Milwaukee Brewers. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising this NL showdown and the game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Philadelphia (+125) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-135). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over nine runs and -115 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -170 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 41-27 straight up (SU) and 38-30 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.9 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units (ATS). Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies are 35-31 SU and have gone 29-36 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 2.4 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 12.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 26-40-2 so far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 29-32-4.
Jake Arrieta is getting the nod for Philadelphia. The right-handed Arrieta (5-4, 2.97 ERA) has recorded 48 strikeouts in 69.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are sending lefty Brent Suter (6-4, 4.61 ERA) to the mound. Suter has 59 strikeouts and 15 walks to his name, as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Suter is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.97, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.65, a WHIP of 1.14 and a K/9 of 10.5.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .234/.296/.398 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the Brewers’ offense this year. Cain is slashing .288/.388/.442 with eight home runs, 22 RBIs, 40 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Yelich’s line is .302/.371/.473 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 43 runs and seven stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.72 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.00 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.88, along with a WHIP of 1.20.
Phillies hitters have slashed .231/.315/.383 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led Philadelphia’s offense. Herrera is slashing .286/.346/.429 with seven home runs, 34 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Hernandez is slashing .256/.368/.384 with seven homers, 22 RBIs, 45 runs and 10 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 0.8 units and are 8-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 15.7 units and are 32-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 32 which went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Philadelphia has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Milwaukee has 15 XBH over its last five.
The Phillies have won three of their last four games SU.
Philadelphia has posted 18.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.2 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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