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Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins Free Pick 06/20/18

Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins are playing host to the Boston Red Sox at Target Field. This AL matchup will get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to New England Sports Network.

Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins Odds

Minnesota (+135) is coming into this one as the underdog against Boston (-145) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Red Sox -1.5 runs (+100) and Twins +1.5 runs (-120).

The Red Sox have gone 49-25 SU this year and are 41-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 13.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.4 units ATS. The Twins, on the other hand, are 32-37 SU and 39-29 ATS. The team has lost 7.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 8.3 units ATS.

Twins games have a 31-35-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Red Sox games have gone under 37 times, gone over 34 times and pushed on two instances.

Left-hander David Price is the projected starter for the visiting Red Sox. Price is 8-4 with a 3.76 ERA and 79 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 3.86 ERA and seven strikeouts across seven innings).

The Twins are preparing to start righty Lance Lynn (4-5, 4.98 ERA), who’s got 71 punchouts and 41 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.60. Lynn made two starts against the Red Sox in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record with a 2.25 ERA and seven strikeouts.

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.14, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.04 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The Minnesota hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .240/.298/.389 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Twins’ batters have been led by Eddie Rosario, who is hitting .316/.354/.571 with 16 home runs, 46 RBIs, 51 runs and six stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.61 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.76 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.17, along with a WHIP of 1.19.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .261/.330/.450 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

J.D. Martinez has led Boston’s offense and is hitting .317/.388/.630 with 22 home runs, 55 RBIs and 46 runs scored.

The Twins are looking for another win following a 6-2 victory in the prior game of the series.

Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Boston has tallied nine extra-base hits over its last five contests. Minnesota has 18 XBH over its last five.

The Red Sox have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit seven over their last 10.

Minnesota has averaged 19.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.

The Twins have won three of their last four games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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