The red-hot Cincinnati Reds will go for their sixth straight win as they play host to the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park. The matchup gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on both WLS and FSOH.
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Odds
The Cubs are 42-31 SU and are 37-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.1 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 3.0 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 30-45 SU and 41-33 ATS. The team has lost 9.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.1 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Reds games have a 34-38-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Chicago has been a good under bet with a total record of 28-43-1.
The right-handed Luke Farrell will get the start for the visiting Cubs. Farrell is 2-2 with a 3.63 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Reds are turning to righty Anthony DeSclafani (2-1, 4.60 ERA), who has 15 punchouts and four walks to his name as well as a 1.47 WHIP. DeSclafani did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has yielded 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.34, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 4.05 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 33 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.77 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.11.
The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .322/.408/.532 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.
The Reds’ offense has been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto. Gennett is slashing .335/.370/.537 with 13 home runs, 50 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Votto is batting .299 with seven homers, 37 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.88 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 2.80, along with a WHIP of 1.29.
Cubs hitters have slashed .257/.342/.414 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Chicago’s offense has been sparked by third baseman Kris Bryant and second baseman Javier Baez, who’ve collectively swatted 23 home runs. Bryant is hitting .280/.383/.481 with nine home runs, 36 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Baez is hitting .266/.309/.529 with 14 homers, 49 RBIs, 42 runs and 13 stolen bases.
The Cubs have lost 5.8 units and are 29-28 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 9.8 units and are 30-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 31 that went under the total.
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in five of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
The Cubs have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 13 over their last 10.
Cincinnati has posted 23.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.8 over its last five.
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