The Baltimore Orioles will be squaring off against the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to broadcast this interleague matchup.
Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves Odds
Vegas is listing Baltimore (+182) as the underdog to Atlanta (-195). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can take the over for -115 or the under for -105. The game’s current runline odds sit at -120 for picking the Orioles +1.5 runs and +100 for the Braves -1.5.
The Orioles have gone just 23-52 SU this year and are 27-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 28.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 25.4 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 43-32 SU and 41-32 ATS. The team has gained 15.9 units for moneyline bettors and 8.6 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Braves games have had an over/under record of 35-35-3 so far in 2018. The Orioles have been a good under bet with a total record of 30-42-2.
Right-hander David Hess will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. Hess is 2-3 with a 4.82 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Braves will turn to righty Brandon McCarthy (5-3, 4.89 ERA), who has 60 punchouts and 21 walks as well as a 1.49 WHIP. McCarthy did not record a start against the Orioles in 2017.
Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.18 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.31, along with a WHIP of 1.50 and a K/9 of 8.18.
Orioles hitters have slashed .228/.295/.380 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have paced Baltimore’s hitters. Machado is slashing .306/.375/.566 with 19 home runs, 55 RBIs and 36 runs scored. Jones (.293/.316/.453) has produced 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 32 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.42 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
Atlanta’s offense is putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .272/.341/.455 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Braves’ offense has been led by outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is hitting .326/.391/.483 with eight home runs, 48 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Freeman’s line is .328/.417/.569 with 15 homers, 51 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 22.9 units and are 16-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 12.1 units and are 29-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, compared to 25 which went under the total.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in four of Baltimore’s last seven games.
Atlanta has recorded 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.2 over its last five.
The Orioles have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
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