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Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick 06/26/18

Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins are making a road trip to Chicago to face their AL Central foe White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. NBC Sports Chicago will broadcast the action and the game will get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox Odds

Vegas has listed Minnesota (-120) as the favorite over Chicago (+110). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at even money (+100) for over 9 runs and -120 for under 9. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Twins -1.5 runs (+125) and White Sox +1.5 runs (-145).

The White Sox are just 26-51 straight up (SU) and 38-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.0 units (ATS). Chicago has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Twins have gone 34-40 SU this year and are 42-32 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 6.5 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 7.7 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

White Sox games have a 33-39-5 over/under record thus far in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 34-37-3.

Lance Lynn will get the nod for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Lynn is 5-5 with a 4.64 ERA and 73 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Chicago this year.

The White Sox will put the ball in the right hand of Reynaldo Lopez (2-5, 3.59 ERA, 1.29 WHIP), who’s got 63 strikeouts and 38 walks. Lopez is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 2.63 ERA over two starts against Minnesota this year.

Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.14 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.82 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.22, along with a K-per-9 of 9.08.

Twins hitters have slashed .237/.311/.400 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar, who have combined to swat 29 home runs. Rosario is hitting .320/.357/.581 with 17 home runs, 50 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Escobar is hitting .293 with 12 homers, 48 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have yielded 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 5.24, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.3. The bullpen has a 3.94 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 35 games against divisional foes, White Sox starters have an ERA of 5.02 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.48.

The Chicago offense has put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .237/.287/.373 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have led the White Sox hitters this year. Abreu is hitting .272/.323/.473 with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 37 runs scored, and Sanchez’s line is .255/.303/.411 with five homers, 31 RBIs, 30 runs and seven steals.

The Twins have lost 3.5 units and are 30-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 27 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 13.3 units and are 29-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 30 which went under the total.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Minnesota has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Chicago has 13 XBH over its last five.

Minnesota fielders have five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Chicago over its last 10.

The Twins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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