The Cincinnati Reds will face the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Ohio will broadcast this NL matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves Odds
Vegas is listing Cincinnati (+125) as the underdog to Atlanta (-135). The total is sitting at 8.5 runs and gamblers can take the over or the under for -110. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -170 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +150 for the Braves -1.5.
The Braves are 45-33 straight up (SU) and 42-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 16.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.7 units (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Reds are 33-46 SU and have gone 45-33 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 7.4 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 1.9 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Neither side has been an obvious over/under play this season. Braves games have a 37-35-4 over/under record so far in 2018. Cincinnati has an over/under record of 37-38-3.
The right-handed Luis Castillo is getting the start for the visiting Reds. Castillo is 5-8 with a 5.70 ERA and 81 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 4.50 ERA and eight strikeouts across four innings).
The Braves are sending lefty Sean Newcomb (8-2, 2.59 ERA) to the mound. Newcomb has 84 strikeouts and 38 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.16. Newcomb is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.29 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.28 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.98, along with a WHIP of 1.47 and a K-per-9 of 8.05.
The Reds offense has slashed .255/.337/.398 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 6.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto. Gennett is slashing .334/.374/.533 with 13 home runs, 52 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Votto has a .302 average with eight homers, 42 RBIs and 42 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.05 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Atlanta hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .286/.374/.407 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Braves’ batters have been led by outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is hitting .326/.391/.484 with eight home runs, 50 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Freeman’s line is .321/.410/.553 with 15 homers, 54 RBIs and 50 runs.
The Reds have gained 2.4 units and are 13-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 12.8 units and are 30-21 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 25 that went under the total.
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Cincinnati has recorded 17 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Atlanta has 19 XBH over its last five.
The Reds have won eight of their last nine games SU.
Atlanta has posted 24.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 28.2 over its last five.
The Reds have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit nine over their last 10.
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