The Los Angeles Angels will face the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will be airing this AL showdown and the action gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox Odds
Los Angeles (+135) is the underdog to Boston (-145) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 10.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Angels +1.5 runs (-160) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (+140).
The Angels are 41-40 SU and have gone 34-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 16.0 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread just once over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 54-27 SU and 45-35 ATS. The team has gained 12.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.1 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.
Boston games have an over/under record of 37-40-3 so far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 36-38-6.
The right-handed Jaime Barria is the projected starter for the visiting Angels. Barria (5-3, 3.40 ERA) has racked up 42 strikeouts in 50.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the left hand of Brian Johnson (1-2, 4.50 ERA), who has 33 strikeouts and 10 walks as well as a 1.44 WHIP. Johnson is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Los Angeles this year.
Boston’s pitchers have yielded 3.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 3.73 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 3.10, a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 9.7.
The Boston hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per outing, including 6.0 per game over its last 10 games and 7.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .333/.381/.589 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Red Sox offense has been led by J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi. Martinez is hitting .329/.396/.654 with 25 home runs, 64 RBIs and 56 runs scored, while Benintendi’s line sits at .290/.374/.519 with 13 homers, 51 RBIs, 56 runs and 13 steals.
For the visitors, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.84 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.04 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.01, along with a K-per-9 of 9.11.
The Angels offense has slashed .245/.320/.416 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Los Angeles’ offensive production has been sparked by right fielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons. Trout is slashing .323/.458/.645 with 23 home runs, 48 RBIs, 62 runs and 13 stolen bases. Simmons (.314/.376/.426) has produced four homers, 35 RBIs and 38 runs scored.
The Angels have lost 10.7 units and are 5-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 13.4 units and are 35-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 29 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve cashed the under.
Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in three of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
The Red Sox have won five of their last six games SU.
Los Angeles has recorded 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.0 over its last five.
The Angels have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 15 over their last 10.
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