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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Matchup 06/28/18

Twins vs Brewers
Jordan Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds are set to host their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Great American Ball Park. The action will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin to catch the game.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Both teams have matching -105 moneyline odds and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Brewers -1.5 runs (+140) and Reds +1.5 runs (-160).

The Brewers have gone 46-33 SU this year and are 44-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.5 units ATS. The Reds, on the other hand, are 34-46 SU and 46-33 ATS. The team’s lost 6.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.9 units ATS.

Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 37-39-3 thus far in 2018. Milwaukee has been a great under bet with a total record of 30-46-2.

Junior Guerra will get the nod for Milwaukee. The right-handed Guerra is 3-5 with a 2.82 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.

The Reds are putting the ball in the right hand of Anthony DeSclafani (3-1, 4.09 ERA), who has 18 strikeouts and eight walks this season as well as a 1.36 WHIP. DeSclafani has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not pitch in the majors last season.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.32, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 35 games against divisional foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.76 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.96.

The Cincinnati offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .274/.375/.464 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Reds’ hitters have been led by Scooter Gennett, who is slashing .336/.375/.534 with 13 home runs, 53 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.94 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.67 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.74, along with a WHIP of 1.23.

The Brewers offense has slashed .246/.317/.411 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Lorenzo Cain has led Milwaukee’s offense and is slashing .291/.394/.438 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 stolen bases.

The Reds are coming off of a 6-5 win against the Braves, while the Brewers just dropped a 5-4 game to the Royals.

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in only two of Milwaukee’s last seven games.

The Brewers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

Milwaukee has posted 18.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.2 over its last five.

The Reds have won nine of their last 10 games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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