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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick 06/29/18

David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers are set to play their division rival Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise the matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Vegas has offered equal moneyline odds (-105) on both of these teams. Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +105 for over 9.5 runs and -125 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Brewers -1.5 runs (+140) and Reds +1.5 runs (-160).

The Brewers are 47-33 SU and have gone 44-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 8.4 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 34-47 SU and 47-33 ATS. The team has lost 4.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.9 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 38-39-3 so far in 2018. Milwaukee has been a good under bet with a total record of 31-46-2.

Chase Anderson is getting the nod for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Anderson (5-6, 4.37 ERA) has recorded 63 strikeouts in 82.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Cincinnati this year.

The Reds are turning to righty Sal Romano (4-7, 5.40 ERA), who has 62 strikeouts and 36 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.47. Romano is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.33, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 3.94 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. In 36 games against NL Central opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.76 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.02.

Cincinnati’s offense has put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .261/.351/.433 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Reds’ batters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto. Gennett is slashing .331/.370/.527 with 13 home runs, 53 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Votto’s line is .297/.429/.452 with eight homers, 42 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.97 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.68 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.72, along with a K-per-9 of 10.61.

Brewers hitters have slashed .246/.317/.412 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Cain is slashing .291/.394/.438 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Yelich is hitting .289/.364/.471 with 11 homers, 34 RBIs, 52 runs and 10 steals.

The Brewers have gained 14.7 units and are 38-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 8.5 units and are 33-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve cashed the under.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Milwaukee has logged 15 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Cincinnati has 17 XBH over its last five.

The Milwaukee defense has allowed zero errors over its last five games, compared to four errors for Cincinnati over its last five.

The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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