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Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners Free Pick 06/29/18

Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals will pay a visit to Safeco Field to play the Seattle Mariners. The game gets underway 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City will televise this AL showdown.

Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Kansas City (+187) as the dog to Seattle (-205). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -115 for the Royals +1.5 runs and -105 for the Mariners -1.5.

The Royals are only 25-55 SU and have gone 37-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 19.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.7 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 51-31 SU and 41-40 ATS. The team’s gained 17.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.5 units ATS. Seattle has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 41-39-1 so far in 2018. Royals games have gone under 46 times, gone over 30 times and pushed on four occasions.

Right-hander Ian Kennedy will get the start for the visiting Royals. Kennedy is 1-7 with a 5.09 ERA and 80 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.35 ERA and seven strikeouts across 6.2 innings).

The Mariners are sending lefty Marco Gonzales (7-5, 4.04 ERA) to the mound. Gonzales has 80 strikeouts and 20 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.28. Gonzales is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 15.43 ERA in one start against Kansas City this year.

Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

Seattle’s hitters have produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .254/.322/.381 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Mariners’ hitters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. Segura is slashing .335/.364/.479 with six home runs, 44 RBIs, 57 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Gordon’s line is .288/.308/.354 with 87 hits, 20 RBIs, 38 runs and 21 stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.09 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.46 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.37, along with a K/9 of 6.95.

The Royals offense has slashed .238/.303/.365 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game this year, including 2.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Kansas City’s hitters have been led by second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas, who have combined to swat 19 home runs. The speedy Merrifield is hitting .281/.356/.400 with four home runs, 24 RBIs, 31 runs and 16 stolen bases. Moustakas is hitting .255/.310/.467 with 15 homers, 49 RBIs and 36 runs scored.

The Royals have gained 5.8 units and are 17-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 17.8 units and are 27-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 30 of those games, compared to 24 which went under the total.

Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in only two of Seattle’s last seven games.

Seattle has recorded 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.4 over its last five.

The Royals have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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