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Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs Betting Preview 06/30/18

Cubs vs Reds
David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins are ready to play the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. This interleague showdown begins at 2:20 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on both WLS and FSN.

Minnesota Twins at Chicago Cubs Odds

The Twins are 35-43 SU and are 42-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having gained 4.7 units ATS. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 45-35 SU and 40-39 ATS. They’ve lost 4.8 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.4 units ATS.

Cubs games have had an over/under record of 34-44-1 so far in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 35-39-3.

Adalberto Mejia will get the start for the visiting Twins. The left-handed Mejia has yet to pitch in the majors this year.

The Cubs will put the ball in the right hand of Tyler Chatwood (3-5, 3.95 ERA, 1.73 WHIP), who has 64 strikeouts and 63 walks. Chatwood only made one start against the Twins in 2017 (0-1, 3.60 ERA and four strikeouts across five innings).

Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.24 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.88 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.25, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K/9 of 9.25.

Twins hitters have slashed .235/.309/.395 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar, who collectively have swatted 29 home runs. Rosario is slashing .312/.352/.565 with 17 home runs, 50 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Escobar (.279/.334/.533) has produced 12 homers, 48 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

For the home team, Chicago’s pitchers have yielded 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.11, a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 9.1.

The Chicago offense has put up 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .322/.377/.525 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Cubs’ batters have been led by second baseman Javier Baez and outfielder Albert Almora Jr.. Baez is hitting .284/.321/.560 with 16 home runs, 57 RBIs, 49 runs and 13 steals, and Almora Jr.’s line is .324/.363/.454 with four homers, 24 RBIs and 43 runs scored.

Minnesota Twins at Chicago Cubs MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Minnesota has recorded 11 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Chicago has 19 XBH over its last five.

Chicago has posted 25.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 30.8 over its last five.

The Twins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 15 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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