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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Free Preview 06/30/18

Gregory J. Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to their NL East foe Washington Nationals at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 6:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup.

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Washington (+105) is entering this game as the underdog to Philadelphia (-115) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Nationals +1.5 runs (-200) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+170).

The Phillies are 43-37 straight up (SU) and 34-45 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 7.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 18.0 units (ATS). The Nationals have gone 42-38 SU this year and are 39-40 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 12.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.3 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 36-39-4 so far in 2018. The Nationals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 31-46-2.

Right-hander Jeremy Hellickson is the projected starter for the visiting Nationals. Hellickson is 2-0 with a 2.28 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Phillies are handing the ball to righty Vince Velasquez (5-8, 4.69 ERA), who has 104 punchouts and 33 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Velasquez is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA in one start against Washington this year.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.84 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.42 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 30 games against NL East foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.73 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.88.

Philadelphia’s offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .229/.309/.401 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Phillies’ hitters have been led by Odubel Herrera, who is hitting .286/.341/.474 with 13 home runs, 45 RBIs and 41 runs scored.

For the visitors, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.56 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.56 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.91, along with a K-per-9 of 8.87.

Nationals hitters have slashed .240/.320/.400 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Trea Turner has led Washington’s offense and is hitting .270/.353/.411 with nine home runs, 29 RBIs, 47 runs and 22 stolen bases.

The Nationals are coming off a 17-7 victory in the prior game of this series.

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in just two of Philadelphia’s last seven games.

The Nationals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

Philadelphia has recorded 22.5 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.6 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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