The St. Louis Cardinals are set to host the Atlanta Braves at Busch Stadium. This NL matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox and the game gets underway 7:15 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals Odds
Atlanta (+130) is entering this one as the underdog to St. Louis (-140) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Braves +1.5 runs (-170) and Cardinals -1.5 runs (+150).
The Braves have gone 46-34 SU this year and are 42-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 13.8 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 42-38 SU and 39-40 ATS. They’ve lost 4.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.0 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Cardinals games have a 32-43-4 over/under record so far in 2018. Braves games have gone over 38 times, gone under 36 times and pushed on four occasions.
The left-handed Max Fried is the projected starter for the visiting Braves. Fried is 0-2 with a 4.09 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Cardinals will send righty Luke Weaver (4-6, 4.59 ERA) to the mound. Weaver has 77 strikeouts and 32 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.39. Weaver did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.
As a unit, St. Louis’ pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.34, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.
The St. Louis hitters have produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .262/.337/.417 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez have led the charge for the Cardinals’ batters this year. Ozuna is hitting .288/.333/.424 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Martinez is hitting .301 with 12 homers, 51 RBIs and 34 runs.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.40 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.56 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.09, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
Braves hitters have slashed .260/.331/.423 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Atlanta’s offensive production has been led by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman, who collectively have swatted 23 home runs. Markakis is slashing .323/.389/.478 with eight home runs, 51 RBIs and 47 runs scored, while Freeman (.317/.408/.544) has produced 15 homers, 54 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 10.1 units and are 30-23 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Atlanta has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings. St. Louis has 16 XBH over its last five.
The Braves have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 13 over their last 10.
St. Louis has recorded 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.6 over its last five.
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