The Pittsburgh Pirates will face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be televised on either ATPT or SNLA.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
Vegas has listed Los Angeles (-180) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+170). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -130 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +110 for the Dodgers -1.5.
The Dodgers are 46-39 straight up (SU) and 37-47 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 18.3 units for moneyline bettors and 9.2 units (ATS). Los Angeles has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Pirates are 40-45 SU and have gone 39-45 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 6.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.5 units ATS. Pittsburgh’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Los Angeles games have had an over/under record of 43-39-2 so far in 2018. The Pirates have an over/under record of 40-37-7.
Right-hander Clay Holmes is the projected starter for Pittsburgh. Holmes is 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA and two strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Dodgers are putting the ball in the left hand of Rich Hill (1-3, 4.68 ERA), who has 46 strikeouts and 16 walks this season as well as a 1.42 WHIP. Hill only made one start against the Pirates in 2017 (0-1, 1.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts across nine innings).
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.37 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.33, along with a WHIP of 1.29.
The Pirates offense has slashed .248/.319/.402 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offense has been sparked by left fielder Corey Dickerson and first baseman Josh Bell. Dickerson is slashing .301/.336/.448 with six home runs, 33 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Bell (.252/.333/.383) is up to five homers, 41 RBIs and 41 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.39 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.91 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Los Angeles offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.9 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .298/.358/.602 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Dodgers’ batters have been led by outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor. Kemp is hitting .318/.354/.557 with 15 home runs, 55 RBIs and 39 runs scored, and Taylor’s line sits at .260/.342/.474 with 10 homers, 34 RBIs and 51 runs.
The Pirates have lost 6.3 units and are 9-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to eight that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 16.8 units and are 23-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 35 of those games, as opposed to 18 which went under the total.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Pittsburgh has tallied 19 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Los Angeles has 24 XBH over its last five.
The Pirates have dropped three of their last four games SU.
Pittsburgh has posted 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.4 over its last five.
The Pirates have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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