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Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview 07/04/18

Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles are set to take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. This interleague showdown will get underway at 4:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.

Baltimore Orioles at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

The Phillies are 46-37 straight up (SU) and 36-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 8.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 17.6 units (ATS). The Orioles have gone 24-60 SU this year and are 31-52 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 33.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 26.9 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 37-41-4 so far in 2018. Baltimore has been a good under bet with a total record of 33-47-3.

Yefry Ramirez is getting the nod for Baltimore. Ramirez is 0-1 with a 2.89 ERA and nine strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Phillies will turn to righty Aaron Nola (10-2, 2.48 ERA) to the mound. Nola has 107 punchouts and 31 walks to his name, as well as a 1.01 WHIP. Nola did not record a start against the Orioles in 2017.

As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.82, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

Philadelphia’s offense has put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .229/.326/.428 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Phillies’ batters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .280/.333/.469 with 14 home runs, 47 RBIs and 42 runs scored, and Hernandez’s line is .266/.379/.386 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 58 runs and 13 stolen bases.

For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.16 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.53 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.34, along with a WHIP of 1.49.

Orioles hitters have slashed .227/.291/.380 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been led by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones, who collectively have swatted 31 home runs. Machado is slashing .311/.378/.565 with 21 home runs, 59 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Jones is hitting .284/.309/.432 with 10 homers, 32 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 24.8 units and are 18-35 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.

Baltimore Orioles at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in five of Baltimore’s last seven games.

The Phillies have won five of their last six games SU.

Baltimore has recorded 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.4 over its last five.

The Orioles have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 11 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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