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Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners Free Preview 07/04/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Angels will be taking on their divisional nemesis Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. The matchup gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET and you can watch it on either RTNW or FSW.

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Seattle (+100) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-110). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Angels -1.5 runs (+135) and Mariners +1.5 runs (-155).

The Mariners are 55-31 straight up (SU) and 44-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 21.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.2 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Angels are 43-43 SU and have gone 36-49 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 6.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 19.3 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Seattle games have an over/under record of 42-42-1 so far in 2018. The Angels have an over/under record of 37-41-7.

The right-handed Garrett Richards is the probable starter for the visiting Angels. Richards (4-4, 3.42 ERA) has racked up 78 strikeouts in 68.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA against Seattle this year (two starts).

The Mariners will put the ball in the right hand of Mike Leake (8-4, 4.01 ERA), who’s got 66 punchouts and 24 walks as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Leake is 1-1 with eight strikeouts and a 3.18 ERA over two starts against Los Angeles this year.

Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.84 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.10 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.00, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 8.96.

The Angels offense has slashed .244/.318/.413 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Los Angeles’ hitters have been led by right fielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons, who collectively have launched 30 home runs. Trout is hitting .310/.454/.626 with 24 home runs, 49 RBIs, 66 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Simmons (.318/.378/.448) is up to six homers, 39 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.94, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 3.80 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 31 games against divisional foes, Mariners starters have an ERA of 3.89 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.36.

Seattle’s offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .259/.293/.398 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that span.

Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon have led the Mariners’ offense this year. Segura is hitting .334/.362/.474 with six home runs, 45 RBIs, 60 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Gordon’s line is .280/.301/.343 with 89 hits, 20 RBIs, 38 runs and 22 stolen bases.

The Angels have gained 4.8 units and are 31-34 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 21.8 units and are 30-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 31 of those games, as opposed to 27 that’ve cashed the under.

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Los Angeles has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Seattle has 12 XBH over its last five.

Los Angeles has recorded 18 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18 over its last five.

The Angels have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit nine over their last 10

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Written by GMS Previews

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