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New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays Matchup 07/04/18

Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets are set to face the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. SportsNet New York will televise this interleague matchup and the game gets going at 7:07 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

New York (+170) is the underdog to Toronto (-180) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Runline odds sit at -130 for picking the Mets +1.5 runs and +110 for the Blue Jays -1.5 runs.

The Mets are only 33-49 SU and have gone 33-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 19.8 units ATS. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 40-45 SU and 39-45 ATS. The team’s lost 6.1 units for moneyline bettors and 10.4 units ATS.

Toronto games have an over/under record of 39-37-8 so far in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 34-42-4.

Corey Oswalt will get the nod for New York. Oswalt is 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA and five strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Blue Jays will turn to righty Marcus Stroman (1-5, 6.02 ERA), who has 41 strikeouts and 19 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.52. Stroman did not record a start against the Mets in 2017.

As a unit, Toronto’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.88, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .214/.305/.364 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Blue Jays’ offense has been led by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and outfielder Kevin Pillar. Solarte is slashing .250/.308/.451 with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Pillar’s line is .245/.277/.401 with seven homers, 29 RBIs, 38 runs and 10 steals.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.99 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.90, along with a K/9 of 8.68.

The Mets offense has slashed .231/.313/.385 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .281/.330/.489 with 15 home runs, 47 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .241/.285/.356 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 12.4 units and are 22-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 24 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve hit the under against ies.

New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in three of Toronto’s last seven games.

The New York defense has allowed five errors over its last five games, compared to two errors for Toronto over its last five.

The Mets have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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