The Atlanta Braves will head north to play the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise this NL showdown and the first pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
The Braves have gone 49-36 SU this year and are 45-38 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 18.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.1 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 51-35 SU and 47-38 ATS. They’ve gained 13.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 35-47-3 thus far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 41-38-4.
Left-hander Max Fried will get the start for the visiting Braves. Fried is 1-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 24 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers are sending righty Jhoulys Chacin (6-3, 3.71 ERA) to the mound. Chacin has 76 strikeouts and 43 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.34. Chacin made two starts against the Braves in 2017, putting together a 0-2 record with a 3.75 ERA and seven strikeouts.
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.47 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.79 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.21, along with a K-per-9 of 9.03.
The Braves offense has slashed .260/.330/.426 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Right fielder Nick Markakis and second baseman Ozzie Albies continue to lead Atlanta’s hitters. Markakis is hitting .322/.389/.493 with 10 home runs, 58 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Albies (.278/.319/.510) is up to 18 homers, 49 RBIs, 66 runs and eight steals.
For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 3.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.90 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.03, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 10.5.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .210/.285/.364 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Cain is hitting .291/.394/.438 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Yelich’s line sits at .288/.362/.468 with 11 homers, 34 RBIs, 52 runs and 10 stolen bases.
The Braves have gained 14.3 units and are 33-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 28 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 2.8 units and are 6-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in four of Atlanta’s last seven outings.
Atlanta has posted 25.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.8 over its last five.
The Braves have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
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