The Atlanta Braves are set to face the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Milwaukee (-120) as the favorite over Atlanta (+110). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for +105 and the under for -125. The game’s current runline odds stand at -190 for picking the Braves +1.5 runs and +165 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Braves are 49-37 SU and are 45-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 17.1 units for moneyline bettors and 5.0 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 52-35 SU and 47-39 ATS. The team has gained 14.8 units for moneyline bettors and 7.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 35-48-3 so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 41-39-4.
Right-hander Mike Foltynewicz is the probable starter for Atlanta. Foltynewicz is 6-4 with a 2.02 ERA and 107 strikeouts. He has yet to face Milwaukee this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 1.64 ERA and 15 strikeouts.
The Brewers are turning to Freddy Peralta (3-1, 2.28 ERA), who has 40 strikeouts and 12 walks as well as a WHIP of 0.87. Peralta did not pitch in the majors last season.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 3.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.88, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.01, a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 10.4.
Milwaukee’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .224/.301/.397 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .289/.364/.470 with 11 home runs, 35 RBIs, 53 runs and 10 stolen bases, and Cain’s line sits at .291/.394/.438 with eight homers, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.52 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.76 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.23, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K-per-9 of 9.09.
Braves hitters have slashed .259/.328/.424 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been led by right fielder Nick Markakis and second baseman Ozzie Albies, who’ve collectively swatted 28 home runs. Markakis is slashing .319/.385/.487 with 10 home runs, 58 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Albies is hitting .280/.321/.518 with 18 homers, 50 RBIs, 67 runs and eight stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 17.6 units and are 41-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 26 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under.
Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in just two of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
Atlanta has posted 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.2 over its last five.
The Braves have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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