The Tampa Bay Rays will head north to square off against the New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will be televising this interleague showdown and the action gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers have listed New York (-165) as the favorite over Tampa Bay (+155). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over seven runs and -120 for under seven. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -140 for taking the Rays +1.5 runs and +120 for the Mets -1.5 runs.
The Rays have gone 43-43 SU this year and are 50-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.8 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 34-49 SU and 34-48 ATS. The team’s lost 17.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.6 units ATS.
New York games have a 35-43-4 over/under record so far in 2018. Rays games have gone under 48 times, gone over 35 times and pushed on three occasions.
Ryne Stanek will get the nod for the visiting Rays. The right-handed Stanek (1-2, 1.98 ERA) has racked up 33 strikeouts in 27.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets will turn to righty Jacob deGrom (5-4, 1.84 ERA) to the mound. deGrom has 134 punchouts and 28 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.02. deGrom did not record a start against the Rays in 2017.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.99, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 4.85 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.
The New York hitters have put up 4.0 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .224/.335/.416 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is slashing .284/.332/.489 with 15 home runs, 48 RBIs and 39 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .241/.285/.356 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 29 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.76 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.61 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.44, along with a K-per-9 of 8.04.
The Rays offense has slashed .250/.324/.382 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Tampa Bay’s offense has been fueled by third baseman Matt Duffy and catcher Wilson Ramos. Duffy is hitting .314/.361/.419 with four home runs, 25 RBIs and 26 runs scored. Ramos is slashing .291/.340/.468 with 12 homers, 45 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Rays have gained 0.6 units and are 32-26 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 11.9 units and are 23-36 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under.
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Mets MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
New York has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.6 over its last five.
The Rays have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 13 over their last 10.
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