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St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago White Sox Free Pick 07/10/18

Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals will head north to Guaranteed Rate Field to face the Chicago White Sox. This interleague showdown will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to WGN to catch the action.

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago White Sox Odds

Vegas has listed Chicago (+165) as the underdog to St. Louis (-175). The total is sitting at 9.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -115 or the under for -105. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -120 for taking the Cardinals -1.5 runs and +100 for the White Sox +1.5 runs.

The White Sox are 45-45 against the spread (ATS), but only 30-60 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 20.1 units for moneyline bettors and 7.3 units (ATS). Chicago has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Cardinals have gone 46-43 SU this year and are 44-45 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 6.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.7 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

White Sox games have a 41-44-5 over/under record so far in 2018. Cardinals games have gone under 47 times, gone over 38 times and pushed on four occasions.

The right-handed Miles Mikolas will get the start for the visiting Cardinals. Mikolas (9-3, 2.63 ERA) has racked up 75 strikeouts in 109.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the White Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The White Sox will send righty Dylan Covey (3-4, 5.54 ERA) to the mound. Covey has 38 punchouts and 24 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.59. Covey did not record a start against the Cardinals in 2017.

St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.48 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.02 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.21, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .245/.318/.401 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

St. Louis’ hitters have been paced by left fielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez, who have combined to drive in 100 runs. Ozuna is slashing .275/.315/.399 with 10 home runs, 47 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Martinez has a .296 average with 13 homers, 53 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have yielded 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 5.36 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

Chicago’s hitters have put up 4.0 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .206/.257/.375 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

The White Sox hitters have been led by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez. Abreu is slashing .259/.315/.448 with 12 home runs, 50 RBIs and 42 runs scored, and Sanchez’s line is .257/.308/.411 with five homers, 41 RBIs, 32 runs and nine stolen bases.

The Cardinals have lost 2.8 units and are 33-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 16.8 units and are 34-36 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 31 of those games, compared to 34 that went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago White Sox Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in four of Chicago’s last seven games.

The White Sox have dropped six of their last seven games SU.

St. Louis has posted 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 28.0 over its last five.

The Cardinals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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