The Houston Astros will play host to the Detroit Tigers at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest will showcase this AL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros Odds
Vegas is listing Detroit (+225) as the underdog to Houston (-250). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 8.5 runs and -115 for under 8.5. The game’s runline odds sit at +100 for betting the Tigers +1.5 runs and -120 for the Astros -1.5.
The Astros are 62-34 straight up (SU) and 48-47 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 4.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.0 units (ATS). Houston has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Tigers are 40-55 SU and have gone 50-45 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.0 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Astros games have had an over/under record of 42-48-5 so far in 2018. Detroit has also been a solid under bet with a total record of 37-55-3.
Mike Fiers is getting the start for the Tigers. The right-handed Fiers is 6-5 with a 3.65 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Astros are planning to start lefty Dallas Keuchel (6-8, 3.95 ERA), who has 89 strikeouts and 32 walks, as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Keuchel only made one start against the Tigers in 2017 (0-0, 9.00 ERA and three strikeouts across three innings).
Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.02, a WHIP of 1.07 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.3. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.85, a WHIP of 1.05 and a K/9 of 10.8.
The Houston hitters are putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .184/.257/.294 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Astros’ batters have been led by second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman. Altuve is hitting .333/.398/.476 with nine home runs, 44 RBIs, 62 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Bregman is hitting .285 with 19 homers, 61 RBIs, 62 runs and eight stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.34 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.36 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.50, along with a K/9 of 8.04.
The Tigers offense has slashed .247/.308/.388 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Detroit’s hitters have been paced by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .305/.358/.523 with 15 home runs, 56 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Iglesias is slashing .272/.311/.380 with two homers, 34 RBIs, 29 runs and 12 stolen bases.
The Tigers have gained 9.8 units and are 16-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 9.7 units and are 33-27 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 27 of those games, compared to 29 that went under the total.
Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in four of Houston’s last seven games.
The Tigers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 13 over their last 10.
Detroit has averaged 20.2 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 games and 20.4 over its last five.
The Astros have lost three of their last four games SU.
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