The Tampa Bay Rays will be taking on the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will televise this AL matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Tampa Bay (+125) as the underdog to Minnesota (-135). The total is sitting at 8 runs and gamblers can take the over or the under for -110. The game’s current runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Rays +1.5 runs and +150 for the Twins -1.5.
The Twins are 51-40 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 43-49 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 8.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 8.3 units (ATS). Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Rays have gone 48-46 SU this year and are 54-39 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 9.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 15.3 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Minnesota games have an over/under record of 43-45-3 so far in 2018. The Rays have been a strong under bet with a total record of 37-53-3.
Chris Archer will get the nod for the visiting Rays. The right-handed Archer is 3-4 with a 4.41 ERA and 79 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Minnesota this year.
The Twins will put the ball in the right hand of Jose Berrios (9-7, 3.41 ERA, 0.99 WHIP), who has 122 strikeouts and 26 walks. Berrios has yet to face the Rays this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and seven strikeouts across five innings).
Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.81 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.72 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.48, along with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 8.10.
Rays hitters have slashed .252/.326/.390 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Tampa Bay’s hitters have been led by third baseman Matt Duffy and catcher Wilson Ramos. Duffy is slashing .311/.366/.410 with four home runs, 26 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Ramos (.297/.346/.486) has produced 14 homers, 51 RBIs and 29 runs scored.
For the home team, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.32 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.36 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
The Minnesota offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 5.9 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .328/.387/.511 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar have led the Twins’ batters this year. Rosario is hitting .303/.344/.533 with 19 home runs, 56 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Escobar’s line is .271/.326/.512 with 14 homers, 55 RBIs and 41 runs.
The Rays have gained 0.3 units and are 34-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 4.8 units and are 35-30 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 33 of those games, compared to 30 that went under the total.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
The Twins have won eight of their last nine games SU.
Tampa Bay has recorded 25.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.6 over its last five.
The Rays have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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