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Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres Betting Preview 07/14/18

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Cubs will take on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. This NL matchup gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on WLS and FSSD.

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres Odds

San Diego (+155) is the home-team underdog to Chicago (-165) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Cubs -1.5 runs (-115) and Padres +1.5 runs (-105).

The Cubs are 53-38 SU and have gone 46-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.6 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 3.4 units ATS. The Padres, on the other hand, are 40-57 SU and 45-51 ATS. They’ve lost 6.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 22.3 units ATS.

Padres games have had an over/under record of 42-51-3 so far in 2018. The Cubs have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 40-49-1.

Kyle Hendricks will get the start for Chicago. The right-handed Hendricks (5-8, 3.93 ERA) has recorded 80 punchouts in 105.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and five strikeouts across five innings).

The Padres are going with righty Luis Perdomo (1-3, 7.09 ERA), who’s got 20 punchouts and 16 walks, as well as a 2.10 WHIP. Perdomo only made one start against the Cubs in 2017 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and four strikeouts across seven innings).

As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.66 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

The San Diego offense is putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .212/.264/.341 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and outfielder Jose Pirela have paced the Padres’ offense this year. Hosmer is hitting .247/.317/.391 with nine home runs, 39 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Pirela’s line is .260/.312/.356 with three homers, 27 RBIs and 45 runs.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.87 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.60 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.03, along with a K/9 of 9.27.

Cubs hitters have slashed .264/.347/.424 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Javier Baez and left fielder Albert Almora Jr. continue to lead Chicago’s offense. Baez is hitting .291/.327/.562 with 18 home runs, 66 RBIs, 59 runs and 18 steals, while Almora Jr. is slashing .319/.357/.438 with four homers, 28 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 6.8 units and are 33-36 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 1.9 units and are 35-31 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 37 that went under the total.

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in five of San Diego’s last seven games.

The Padres have dropped four of their last five games SU.

Chicago has posted 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.0 over its last five.

The Cubs have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 12 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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