The Minnesota Twins will head south to Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to face their division rival Kansas City Royals. The matchup will get going at 8:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City will be televising the game.
Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals Odds
Vegas is listing Minnesota (-120) as the favorite over Kansas City (+110). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can take the over for -105 or the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Twins -1.5 runs (+125) and Royals +1.5 runs (-145).
The Twins have gone 44-50 SU this year and are 53-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.8 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 9.3 units ATS. The Royals, on the other hand, are 27-68 SU and 41-54 ATS. They’ve lost 30.0 units for moneyline bettors and 22.6 units ATS.
Kansas City games have a 40-51-4 over/under record so far in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 46-45-3.
The right-handed Kyle Gibson is the probable starter for the visiting Twins. Gibson (4-6, 3.42 ERA) has recorded 114 strikeouts in 115.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Kansas City this year.
The Royals are handing the ball to lefty Danny Duffy (5-8, 4.59 ERA), who’s got 103 strikeouts and 53 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.46. Duffy is 0-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 0.75 ERA over two starts against Minnesota this year.
As a unit, Kansas City’s pitching staff has given up 5.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 5.37 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.45 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 6.9 K/9. In 35 games against AL Central opponents, Royals starters have an ERA of 5.46 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.99.
The Kansas City hitters have put up 3.5 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .257/.326/.451 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Royals’ offense has been led by second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas. Merrifield is slashing .307/.378/.434 with five home runs, 30 RBIs, 42 runs and 17 stolen bases, and the line for Moustakas stands at .249/.306/.466 with 19 homers, 58 RBIs and 42 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.41 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.63 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.67, along with a K/9 of 9.43.
Twins hitters have slashed .244/.317/.406 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Minnesota’s offensive production has been sparked by outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar, who’ve collectively swatted 33 home runs. Rosario is hitting .311/.353/.537 with 19 home runs, 60 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Escobar (.271/.327/.507) has produced 14 homers, 57 RBIs and 41 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 3.6 units and are 16-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 31.8 units and are 23-41 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 28 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under.
Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Royals, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in just two of Kansas City’s last seven games.
The Twins have won four of their last five games SU.
Kansas City has recorded 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.2 over its last five.
The Twins have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Royals have hit 10 over their last 10.
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