The Detroit Tigers will play host to the Boston Red Sox at Comerica Park. The game gets underway 6:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will showcase this AL showdown.
Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers Odds
Boston (-160) is favored against Detroit (+150) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -110 for betting the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -110 for the Tigers +1.5.
The Tigers are 51-47 against the spread (ATS), but only 41-58 straight up (SU). The team has lost 0.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units (ATS). Detroit has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Red Sox are 69-30 SU and have gone 60-38 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 24.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 22.3 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Detroit games have a 39-56-3 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 47-48-3.
Brian Johnson will get the start for Boston. The left-handed Johnson is 1-2 with a 4.20 ERA and 42 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against Detroit this year.
The Tigers will put the ball in the right hand of Mike Fiers (6-6, 3.70 ERA), who has 76 strikeouts and 21 walks this season as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Fiers hasn’t faced the Red Sox yet this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.29 ERA and four strikeouts across seven innings).
Detroit’s pitchers have yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.39, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 4.40 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.
The Detroit offense is putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 1.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .172/.224/.288 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Tigers’ hitters have been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is hitting .304/.358/.514 with 15 home runs, 56 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Iglesias is hitting .265 with 86 hits, 34 RBIs, 29 runs and 12 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.74 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.70 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.24, along with a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 9.79.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .271/.341/.460 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game this year, including 6.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Boston’s offensive production has been sparked by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who’ve collectively blasted 52 home runs. Martinez is slashing .325/.392/.639 with 29 home runs, 80 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Betts is hitting .354/.444/.682 with 23 homers, 51 RBIs, 79 runs and 18 stolen bases.
The Red Sox have gained 25.1 units and are 47-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 36 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 8.8 units and are 16-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.
Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in three of Boston’s last seven games.
The Red Sox have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
Detroit has recorded 16.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 13.0 over its last five.
The Red Sox have won 13 of their last 14 games SU.
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