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Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers Betting Preview 07/21/18

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Indians will be taking on the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Park. This AL showdown will get going at 8:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsTime Ohio to catch the game.

Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers Odds

Cleveland (-185) is entering this game as the favorite against Texas (+175) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Indians -1.5 runs (-130) and Rangers +1.5 runs (+110).

The Indians have gone 53-43 SU this year and are 46-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.2 units for moneyline bettors and 7.5 units ATS. The Rangers, on the other hand, are 41-57 SU and 45-52 ATS. They’ve lost 6.9 units for moneyline bettors and 10.8 units ATS.

Texas games have had an over/under record of 42-48-7 so far in 2018. The Indians have been a decent over bet with a total record of 50-41-4.

Carlos Carrasco will get the start for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Carrasco is 11-5 with a 4.12 ERA and 112 strikeouts. He has yet to face Texas this year, but he made two starts against the Rangers in 2017, posting a 1-0 record against them with a 10.00 ERA and 14 strikeouts.

The Rangers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Bartolo Colon (5-7, 4.64 ERA), who’s got 62 strikeouts and 17 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.21. Colon made two starts against the Indians in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record with a 7.50 ERA.

Texas’ pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 5.36 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.50 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The Texas offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .261/.348/.411 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Rangers’ batters have been led by Shin-soo Choo and Nomar Mazara. Choo is hitting .294/.405/.503 with 18 home runs, 44 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Mazara’s line sits at .272/.332/.450 with 15 homers, 58 RBIs and 46 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.30 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.28, along with a WHIP of 1.16.

Indians hitters have slashed .257/.330/.440 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Cleveland’s hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez, who have combined to swat 55 home runs. Lindor is slashing .292/.371/.560 with 25 home runs, 62 RBIs, 85 runs and 15 stolen bases, while Ramirez (.302/.400/.635) is up to 30 homers, 71 RBIs, 70 runs and 20 steals.

The Indians have lost 15.1 units and are 31-38 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 36 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rangers have lost 5.8 units and are 30-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 26 of those games, compared to 36 which went under the total.

Cleveland Indians vs. Texas Rangers Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in only two of Texas’ last seven games.

The Rangers have lost six of their last seven games SU.

Cleveland has posted 25.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.4 over its last five.

The Indians have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rangers have hit 11 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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