The Minnesota Twins will be taking on the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The game gets underway 7:07 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will broadcast this AL matchup.
Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Toronto (+100) is coming into this one as the underdog against Minnesota (-110) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +135 for the Twins -1.5 runs and -155 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs.
The Twins have gone 45-53 SU this year and are 53-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 6.3 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 46-53 SU and 45-53 ATS. They’ve lost 5.1 units for moneyline bettors and 13.3 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Neither side has been an obvious over/under play this year. Toronto games have had an over/under record of 46-44-8 so far in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 47-47-3.
Jose Berrios is getting the nod for Minnesota. The right-handed Berrios is 9-7 with a 3.68 ERA and 127 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.59 ERA and five strikeouts across 5.2 innings).
The Blue Jays are turning to lefty Ryan Borucki (0-1, 3.52 ERA), who has 21 strikeouts and 10 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.61. Borucki did not accrue any MLB pitching stats in 2017.
As a unit, Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.90 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.05 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Toronto offense has produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .271/.340/.459 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Blue Jays’ hitters have been led by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and outfielder Kevin Pillar. Solarte is hitting .239/.294/.423 with 17 home runs, 52 RBIs and 45 runs scored, and Pillar’s line is .247/.279/.407 with eight homers, 37 RBIs, 42 runs and 11 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.38 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.65 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.73, along with a WHIP of 1.35 and a K/9 of 9.33.
The Twins offense has slashed .244/.317/.405 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar, who’ve collectively blasted 33 home runs. Rosario is slashing .305/.347/.522 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 68 runs scored. Escobar is hitting .275/.336/.511 with 14 homers, 60 RBIs and 43 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 4.9 units and are 16-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 8.4 units and are 30-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 32 of those games, as opposed to 27 that’ve cashed the under.
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
Minnesota has recorded 26.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.0 over its last five.
The Twins have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 15 over their last 10.
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