The San Diego Padres will face the New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will broadcast this NL showdown and the game gets going at 12:10 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres at New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers have placed equal -105 moneyline odds on both of these teams. The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +105 and the under for -125. The game’s current runline odds stand at +140 for picking the Padres -1.5 runs and -160 for the Mets +1.5.
The Mets are just 41-57 straight up (SU) and 42-54 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 19.6 units for moneyline bettors and 18.6 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Padres are 42-62 SU and have gone 48-55 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 8.1 units for moneyline bettors and 24.1 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
New York games have a 41-51-4 over/under record so far in 2018. The Padres have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 47-53-3.
Clayton Richard will get the start for the visiting Padres. The left-handed Richard (7-9, 4.82 ERA) has racked up 95 strikeouts in 127 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 4.05 ERA against New York this year.
The Mets will turn to Corey Oswalt (0-2, 5.64 ERA) to the mound. Oswalt has 15 punchouts and six walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.99. Oswalt has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.
San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.91 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.65 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.62, along with a K/9 of 9.72.
The Padres offense has slashed .232/.298/.365 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela have paced San Diego’s offense. Hosmer is slashing .245/.310/.385 with 10 home runs, 42 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Pirela (.259/.311/.352) is up to three homers, 27 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.98, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 4.72 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.
The New York hitters have put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .218/.317/.333 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ hitters this year. Cabrera is hitting .276/.327/.478 with 17 home runs, 54 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .249/.293/.382 with four homers, 24 RBIs and 37 runs.
The Mets have lost 8.4 units and are 11-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.
San Diego Padres at New York Mets Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
New York has posted 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.8 over its last five.
The Padres have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit eight over their last 10.
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