The Minnesota Twins will head east to Fenway Park to face the Boston Red Sox. New England Sports Network will be showing this AL matchup and the action gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Minnesota (+165) is coming into this one as the underdog to Boston (-175) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Twins +1.5 runs (-135) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (+115).
The Twins have gone 47-53 SU this year and are 55-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.7 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 8.6 units ATS. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 71-32 SU and 62-41 ATS. They’ve gained 24.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.7 units ATS.
Neither team has positioned itself as a strong over/under play this season. Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 49-51-3 in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 48-48-3.
Kyle Gibson will get the start for Minnesota. The right-handed Gibson is 4-7 with a 3.57 ERA and 119 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Boston this year.
The Red Sox will send lefty Brian Johnson (1-3, 3.81 ERA) to the mound. Johnson has 47 punchouts and 17 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.42. Johnson is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Minnesota this year.
Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.66, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.39 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
Boston’s hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .234/.301/.383 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox batters this year. Martinez is slashing .323/.387/.644 with 31 home runs, 85 RBIs and 74 runs scored, and Betts has put up a line of .351/.437/.668 with 24 homers, 52 RBIs, 81 runs and 18 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.34 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.69 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.70, along with a WHIP of 1.34.
The Twins offense has slashed .246/.318/.407 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is hitting .310/.352/.521 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Escobar (.274/.337/.515) is up to 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 3.9 units and are 17-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 23.1 units and are 48-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 37 of those games, compared to 37 that went under the total.
Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in only two of Boston’s last seven games.
Boston has recorded 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.
The Twins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
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