The Super Bowl is one of the most popular gambling days of the year and as gambling laws change in favor of bettors, that’s only going to rind more true as time goes on.
The Super Bowl will make its third trip to Atlanta on Feb. 3, 2019. This will be the first Super Bowl played in Mercedes-Benz Stadium, as the previous two (Super Bowl XXVIII, Super Bowl XXXIV) were played in the recently demolished Georgia Dome.
Though the game won’t take place for another six months, Super Bowl bets can already be placed. Super Bowl odds are available for all 32 teams, though they will change throughout the season.
Betting on Super Bowl 53 now is similar to making a single-game moneyline bet. For example, let’s say you placed a $100 bet on the New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl at +400 odds. If the Patriots did indeed win, you would get your original $100 stake back plus $400 in profit.
Since picking the Super Bowl champion in August is difficult, any correct choice would land a decent profit. But there would be no bigger win than the Cleveland Browns, who have the longest odds at +10,000.
So, who should you bet on? Is it better to trust a tried and true contender, or take a bigger risk for a bigger payday?
The odds of the Philadelphia Eagles winning the Super Bowl were +5,000 at this time last year. Will something like that happen again? Here’s all the information you need to place a wager on Super Bowl LIII.
Super Bowl 53 Odds
New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Rams
Line: Patriots -2
Total: 57
AFC Conference Preseason Analysis
It seems the Patriots are always the year in and year out favorite, and rightfully so, their division (AFC East) is considered to be one of the weakest, giving them almost a free ride to the playoffs each season. They also have one of, if not the, greatest quarterback and head coach combination with Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. Chances are New England will be in Atlanta come February 3.
As for who could possibly knock them out, the Pittsburgh Steelers are the second highest AFC team, but with an aging quarterback in Ben Roethlisburger and a question mark at running back with Le’Veon Bell, the Steelers are a true gamble.
The third highest AFC team is the Houston Texans. They were one of the best teams once rookie Deshaun Watson took midway through the first game, but a knee injury ended his season and the Texans hopes. All signs point to him being ready for 2018-19, but it’s always iffy when dealing with a knee injury.
The Jacksonville Jaguars are sitting at +2,200, a surprise given they were close to knocking off the Patriots in the AFC Championship Game and going to their first Super Bowl in franchise history. If anyone looks ready to knockout the Patriots, it’s the Jaguars.
NFC Conference Preseason Analysis
The NFC is a bit more balanced with the defending Super Bowl champions the Philadelphia Eagles being the favorite to return to the Super Bowl.
The Eagles ran the table in the playoffs despite not having starting quarterback Carson Wentz. Backup Nick Foles played out of his mind in the Super Bowl to help the Eagles win their first in franchise history.
Wentz will be back, but the questions are when and will Foles be able to carry it over into this season when needed. If Wentz is healthy, the Eagles are clearly the best in the NFC and if not, they may still be the best.
The Green Bay Packers are right behind the Eagles, which could be a surprise seeing the Packers didn’t make the playoffs last season, but it’s only surprise if you haven’t heard of Aaron Rodgers.
The leader of the Pack is back after collarbone injury, he came back for a game last year but went back out after Green Bay was eliminated from postseason contention.
With Rodgers, the sky is the limit for the Packers, but there has been a lot of turnover in the coaching staff. Whether it’s for the better is to be seen.
The Minnesota Vikings were a game from playing in the Super Bowl in front of their home crowd, but the Eagles demolished them in the NFC Championship Game. Still, the Vikings have a new quarterback in Kirk Cousins, but who knows if that’s an improvement after how well Case Keenum played last season.
The New Orleans Saints now have a running game and good defense, something quarterback Drew Brees has done well without. With the weapons and the help from the defense, Brees is sure to have an outstanding season.
The Los Angeles Rams are also a great pick with defense led by the front line of Ndamukong Suh and Aaron Donald.
The offense was great as well last year with Todd Gurley at running back and Jared Goff showing why he was picked No. 1 ahead of Wentz.
The Atlanta Falcons nearly won it all two seasons ago and will be a solid pick as well, but unlike the Patriots, they have to face one of the toughest divisions in the NFC South that includes the Saints, Carolina Panthers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Super Bowl Betting Sleepers
Looking at the bottom 16 of the Super Bowl betting odds list, there are some contenders.
Not the Cleveland Browns, however it could be smart to pick the over on their win total, but the New York Giants at +6,000.
The Giants were one of the favorites going into 2017, but injuries tarnished their season from the start. They are healthy now and probably should be much higher on the list.
If Andrew Luck can get on the field, the Indianapolis Colts will make a leap up the list sitting at +4,000 now. That is a big question though. If Luck is back to full strength, and the Colts truly improved their offensive line and secondary, Indy could be one of the best in a weak AFC.
Odds History
|
Super Bowl |
Matchup |
Spread |
Total |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
|
52 |
NE/PHI |
NE -5.5 |
48 |
PHI 41 – NE 33 |
Underdog |
Over |
|
51 |
NE/ATL |
NE -3 |
57.5 |
NE 34 – ATL 28 (OT) |
Favorite |
Over |
|
50 |
CAR/DEN |
CAR -5 |
43.5 |
DEN 24 – CAR 10 |
Underdog |
Under |
|
49 |
SEA/NE |
PK |
47.5 |
NE 28 – SEA 24 |
—- |
Over |
|
48 |
SEA/DEN |
DEN -2.5 |
47.5 |
SEA 43 – DEN 8 |
Underdog |
Over |
|
47 |
SF/BAL |
SF -4.5 |
48 |
BAL 34 – SF 31 |
Underdog |
Over |
|
46 |
NYG/NE |
NE -2.5 |
53 |
NYG 21 – NE 17 |
Underdog |
Under |
|
45 |
GB/PIT |
GB -3 |
45 |
GB 31 – PIT 25 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
44 |
NO/IND |
IND -5 |
57 |
NO 31 – IND 17 |
Underdog |
Under |
|
43 |
PIT/AZ |
PIT -7 |
46 |
PIT 27 – AZ 23 |
Underdog |
Over |
|
42 |
NYG/NE |
NE -12 |
55 |
NYG 17 – NE 14 |
Underdog |
Under |
|
41 |
IND/CHI |
IND -7 |
47 |
IND 29 – CHI 17 |
Favorite |
Under |
|
40 |
PIT/SEA |
PIT -4 |
47 |
PIT 21 – SEA 10 |
Favorite |
Under |
|
39 |
NE/PHI |
NE -7 |
46.5 |
NE 24 – PHI 21 |
Underdog |
Under |
|
38 |
NE/CAR |
NE -7 |
37.5 |
NE 32 – CAR 29 |
Underdog |
Over |
|
37 |
TB/OAK |
OAK -4 |
44 |
TB 48 – OAK 21 |
Underdog |
Over |
|
36 |
NE/STL |
STL -14 |
53 |
NE 20 – STL 17 |
Underdog |
Under |
|
35 |
BAL/NYG |
BAL -3 |
33 |
BAL 34 – NYG 7 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
34 |
STL/TEN |
STL -7 |
45 |
STL 23 – TEN 16 |
Push |
Under |
|
33 |
DEN/ATL |
DEN -7.5 |
52.5 |
DEN 34 – ATL 19 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
32 |
DEN/GB |
GB -11 |
49 |
DEN 31 – GB 24 |
Underdog |
Over |
|
31 |
GB/NE |
GB -14 |
49 |
GB 35 – NE 21 |
Push |
Over |
|
30 |
DAL/PIT |
DAL -13.5 |
51 |
DAL 27 – PIT 17 |
Underdog |
Under |
|
29 |
SF/SD |
SF -18.5 |
53.5 |
SF 49 – SD 26 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
28 |
DAL/BUF |
DAL -10.5 |
50.5 |
DAL 30 – BUF 13 |
Favorite |
Under |
|
27 |
DAL/BUF |
DAL -6.5 |
44.5 |
DAL 52 – BUF 17 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
26 |
WAS/BUF |
WAS -7 |
49 |
WAS 27 – BUF 24 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
25 |
NYG/BUF |
BUF -7 |
40.5 |
NYG 20 – BUF 19 |
Underdog |
Under |
|
24 |
SF/DEN |
SF -12 |
48 |
SF 55 – DEN 10 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
23 |
SF/CIN |
SF -7 |
48 |
SF 20 – CIN 16 |
Underdog |
Under |
|
22 |
WAS/DEN |
DEN -3 |
47 |
WAS 42 – DEN 10 |
Underdog |
Over |
|
21 |
NYG/DEN |
NYG -9.5 |
40 |
NYG 39 – DEN 20 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
20 |
CHI/NE |
CHI -10 |
37.5 |
CHI 46 – NE 10 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
19 |
SF/MIA |
SF -3.5 |
53.5 |
SF 38 – MIA 16 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
18 |
LA/WAS |
WAS -3 |
48 |
LA 38 – WAS 9 |
Favorite |
Under |
|
17 |
WAS/MIA |
MIA -3 |
36.5 |
WAS 27 – MIA 17 |
Underdog |
Over |
|
16 |
SF/CIN |
SF -1 |
48 |
SF 26 – CIN 21 |
Favorite |
Under |
|
15 |
OAK/PHI |
PHI -3 |
37.5 |
OAK 27 – PHI 10 |
Underdog |
Under |
|
14 |
PIT/LA |
PIT -10.5 |
36 |
PIT 31 – LA 19 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
13 |
PIT/DAL |
PIT -3.5 |
37 |
PIT 35 – DAL 31 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
12 |
DAL/DEN |
DAL -6 |
39 |
DAL 27 – DEN 10 |
Favorite |
Under |
|
11 |
OAK/MIN |
OAK -4 |
38 |
OAK 34 – MIN 14 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
10 |
PIT/DAL |
PIT -7 |
36 |
PIT 21 – DAL 7 |
Underdog |
Over |
|
9 |
PIT/MIN |
PIT -3 |
33 |
PIT 16 – MIN 6 |
Favorite |
Under |
|
8 |
MIA/MIA |
MIA -6.5 |
33 |
MIA 24 – MIN 7 |
Favorite |
Under |
|
7 |
MIA/WAS |
MIA -1 |
33 |
MIA 14 – WAS 7 |
Favorite |
Under |
|
6 |
DAL/MIA |
DAL -6 |
34 |
DAL 24 – MIA 3 |
Favorite |
Under |
|
5 |
BAL/DAL |
BAL -2.5 |
36 |
BAL 16 – DAL 13 |
Favorite |
Under |
|
4 |
KC/MIN |
MIN -12 |
39 |
KC 23 – MIN 7 |
Underdog |
Under |
|
3 |
NYJ/BAL |
BAL -18 |
40 |
NYJ 16 – BAL 7 |
Underdog |
Under |
|
2 |
GB/OAK |
GB -13.5 |
43 |
GB 33 – OAK 14 |
Favorite |
Over |
|
1 |
GB/KC |
GB -14 |
N/A |
GB 35 – KC 10 |
Favorite |
N/A |
Super Bowl All-Time Betting Records
- The most points ever scored by a single team in the Super Bowl is 55 (49ers, Super Bowl 24)
- The most total points ever scored in a Super Bowl is 75 (49ers/Chargers, Super Bowl 29)
- The fewest points ever scored by a single team in the Super Bowl is 3 (Dolphins, Super Bowl 6)
- The fewest total points ever scored in a Super Bowl is 23 (Jets/Colts, Super Bowl 3)
- The biggest point spread in Super Bowl history is -18.5 (49ers vs. Chargers, Super Bowl 29)
- The smallest point spread in Super Bowl history is PK (Seahawks vs. Patriots, Super Bowl 49)
- The highest total in Super Bowl history is 57.5 (Patriots vs. Falcons, Super Bowl 51)
- The lowest total in Super Bowl history is 33 (four times)
- The biggest upset in Super Bowl history was +18 (Jets, Super Bowl 3)
- The biggest cover in ATS history was by 37.5 points (Seahawks, Super Bowl 48)
- The biggest margin of victory in Super Bowl history was 45 (49ers, Super Bowl 24)
Super Bowl ATS Trends
- Favored teams are 27-24-1 ATS in the Super Bowl
- Favored teams are 33-18 SU in the Super Bowl
- The Over is 27-24 in the Super Bowl
- Underdog teams are 12-5 ATS since Super Bowl 36
- The Under is 7-7 since Super Bowl 39
- NFC teams are 27-25 in the Super Bowl
Team Records in the Super Bowl
|
Team |
Appearances |
SU Record |
ATS Record |
O/U Record |
|
Arizona Cardinals |
1 |
0-1 |
1-0 |
1-0 |
|
Atlanta Falcons |
2 |
0-2 |
0-2 |
2-0 |
|
Baltimore Ravens |
2 |
2-0 |
2-0 |
2-0 |
|
Buffalo Bills |
4 |
0-4 |
0-4 |
2-2 |
|
Carolina Panthers |
2 |
0-2 |
1-1 |
1-1 |
|
Chicago Bears |
2 |
1-1 |
1-1 |
1-1 |
|
Cincinnati Bengals |
2 |
0-2 |
1-1 |
0-2 |
|
Cleveland Browns |
0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
|
Dallas Cowboys |
8 |
5-3 |
5-3 |
3-5 |
|
Denver Broncos |
8 |
3-5 |
3-5 |
6-2 |
|
Detroit Lions |
0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
|
Green Bay Packers |
5 |
4-1 |
3-1-1 |
4-0 |
|
Houston Texans |
0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
|
Indianapolis Colts |
4 |
2-2 |
2-2 |
0-4 |
|
Jacksonville Jaguars |
0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
0-0 |
|
Kansas City Chiefs |
2 |
1-1 |
1-1 |
0-1 |
|
Los Angeles Rams |
3 |
1-2 |
0-2-1 |
1-2 |
|
Miami Dolphins |
5 |
2-3 |
2-3 |
2-3 |
|
Minnesota Vikings |
4 |
0-4 |
0-4 |
0-4 |
|
New England Patriots |
9 |
5-4 |
3-5-1 |
5-4 |
|
New Orleans Saints |
1 |
1-0 |
1-0 |
0-1 |
|
New York Giants |
5 |
4-1 |
4-1 |
2-3 |
|
New York Jets |
1 |
1-0 |
1-0 |
0-1 |
|
Oakland Raiders |
5 |
3-2 |
3-2 |
3-2 |
|
Philadelphia Eagles |
3 |
1—2 |
1—2 |
1—2 |
|
Pittsburgh Steelers |
8 |
6-2 |
5-3 |
5-3 |
|
San Diego Chargers |
1 |
0-1 |
0-1 |
1-0 |
|
Seattle Seahawks |
3 |
1-2 |
1-2 |
2-1 |
|
San Francisco 49ers |
6 |
5-1 |
4-2 |
4-2 |
|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
1 |
1-0 |
1-0 |
1-0 |
|
Tennessee Titans |
1 |
0-1 |
0-0-1 |
0-1 |
|
Washington Redskins |
5 |
3-2 |
3-2 |
3-2 |
Team Trends
- -The most appearances in the Super Bowl is 9 (Patriots)
- -The fewest appearances in the Super Bowl is 0 (Jaguars, Texans, Lions, Browns)
- -The most wins in the Super Bowl is 6 (Steelers)
- -The most appearances in the Super Bowl without a loss is 2 (Ravens)
- -The most appearances in the Super Bowl without a win is 4 (Vikings, Bills)
- -The most Over games in the Super Bowl is 6 (Broncos)
- -The most Under games in the Super Bowl is 5 (Cowboys)