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Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers Free Preview 07/28/18

Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers are facing off against the Cleveland Indians at Comerica Park. SportsTime Ohio will be televising the matchup and the game will get going at 6:10 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Odds

Detroit (+175) is the home-team underdog to Cleveland (-185) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. The game’s runline odds stand at -130 for betting the Indians -1.5 runs and +110 for the Tigers +1.5 runs.

The Tigers are 54-50 against the spread (ATS), but just 44-60 straight up (SU). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, losing 0.5 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units (ATS). Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, have gone 55-46 SU this year and are 48-53 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 15.3 units for moneyline bettors and 10.3 units ATS. Cleveland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Tigers games have had an over/under record of 41-59-4 in 2018. The Indians have been a decent over bet with a total record of 53-44-4.

Mike Clevinger will get the nod for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Clevinger is 7-6 with a 3.43 ERA and 125 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Detroit this year.

The Tigers will put the ball in the left hand of Francisco Liriano (3-5, 4.73 ERA, 1.43 WHIP), who has 69 strikeouts and 48 walks. Liriano is 0-2 with 10 strikeouts and a 5.65 ERA across three starts against Cleveland this year.

Detroit’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.40 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In 41 games against divisional foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 4.08 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.35.

The Detroit offense has produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .212/.270/.339 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led the Tigers’ hitters this year. Castellanos is slashing .298/.351/.505 with 15 home runs, 56 RBIs and 56 runs scored, while Iglesias is batting .265 with four homers, 41 RBIs, 32 runs and 12 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.55 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.33 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.19, along with a WHIP of 1.17 and a K-per-9 of 8.73.

Indians hitters have slashed .258/.330/.442 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Cleveland’s hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez, who have combined to launch 55 home runs. Lindor is slashing .293/.369/.559 with 25 home runs, 63 RBIs, 88 runs and 15 stolen bases. Ramirez (.298/.403/.625) has produced 30 homers, 73 RBIs, 72 runs and 22 stolen bases.

The Indians have gained 4.0 units and are 15-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 9.7 units and are 35-40 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 45 that went under the total.

Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Cleveland has logged 20 extra-base hits over its last five games. Detroit has 12 XBH over its last five.

The Indians have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit nine over their last 10.

Detroit has recorded 15.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.6 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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