The Washington Nationals will take on their divisional rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Washington (-140) as the favorite over Miami (+130). Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds posted at -125 for over 8 runs and +105 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +105 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and -125 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Nationals are 51-51 SU and are 48-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.1 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 44-60 SU and 56-48 ATS. They’ve gained 4.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.2 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
Miami games have a 55-47-2 over/under record in 2018. The Nationals have been a solid under bet with a total record of 42-58-2.
Gio Gonzalez will get the start for the visiting Nationals. The left-handed Gonzalez is 6-7 with a 3.94 ERA and 99 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of Trevor Richards (3-5, 4.41 ERA), who’s got 63 strikeouts and 32 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.46. Richards is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 4.91 ERA in one start against Washington this year.
Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.05 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.25 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.65, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K/9 of 8.72.
The Nationals offense has slashed .245/.325/.405 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who have combined to drive in 90 runs. Turner is hitting .264/.337/.411 with 13 home runs, 43 RBIs, 58 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Rendon is hitting .284 with 15 homers, 47 RBIs and 47 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.11 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 35 games against NL East foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.45 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.16.
Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .244/.302/.363 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have paced the Marlins’ offense this year. Castro is hitting .289/.335/.409 with eight home runs, 40 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Anderson’s line is .285/.364/.418 with eight homers, 49 RBIs and 60 runs.
The Marlins have lost 2.6 units and are 17-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in just one of Miami’s last seven games.
Miami has recorded 20.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.4 over its last five.
The Nationals have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
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