The San Diego Padres are playing host to the Arizona Diamondbacks at PETCO Park. Fox Sports Arizona will televise the matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET.
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (+140) is the home-team underdog against Arizona (-150) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (-105) and Padres +1.5 runs (-115).
The Padres are 42-63 straight up (SU) and 48-57 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 10.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.1 units (ATS). San Diego has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Diamondbacks have gone 56-48 SU this year and are 53-51 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 4.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.2 units ATS. Arizona is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Padres games have an over/under record of 49-53-3 in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 47-52-5.
Southpaw Patrick Corbin is projected to start for Arizona. Corbin is 7-4 with a 3.06 ERA and 158 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against San Diego this year.
The Padres are sending righty Tyson Ross (6-8, 4.29 ERA) to the mound. Ross has 102 punchouts and 46 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.29. Ross is 0-1 with 12 strikeouts and an 8.38 ERA across two starts against Arizona this year.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.96, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 43 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.06 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.46.
The San Diego hitters have put up 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .215/.260/.325 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela. Hosmer is slashing .246/.312/.385 with 10 home runs, 42 RBIs and 44 runs scored, and Pirela is batting .259 with three homers, 27 RBIs and 45 runs.
For the visitors, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.03 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.24 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.00, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K-per-9 of 7.80.
The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .232/.313/.394 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt continue to lead Arizona’s hitters. Peralta is slashing .290/.346/.493 with 16 home runs, 53 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Goldschmidt is hitting .277/.384/.522 with 22 homers, 54 RBIs and 65 runs scored.
The Diamondbacks have gained 0.3 units and are 35-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 9.1 units and are 10-21 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 14 that went under the total.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in only two of San Diego’s last seven games.
The Diamondbacks have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
San Diego has posted 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.0 over its last five.
The Padres have dropped three of their last four games SU.
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