The Miami Marlins are paying a visit to Atlanta to square off against their division rival Braves at SunTrust Park. Fox SportsNet Florida will be showing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:35 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves Odds
Miami (+165) is the underdog to Atlanta (-175) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Runline odds stand at -135 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +115 for the Braves -1.5 runs.
The Marlins have gone 45-61 SU this year and are 58-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.5 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 2.2 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 54-47 SU and 52-49 ATS. The team’s gained 12.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 0.8 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Braves games have an over/under record of 50-47-4 in 2018. The Marlins have been a decent over bet with a total record of 56-49-2.
Dan Straily will get the nod for Miami. The right-handed Straily (4-4, 4.07 ERA) has racked up 69 strikeouts in 84 innings so far. He’s 2-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Atlanta this year (two starts).
The Braves are sending righty Anibal Sanchez (5-3, 3.00 ERA) to the mound. Sanchez has 74 strikeouts and 24 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.09. Sanchez hasn’t faced the Marlins yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.71 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.25 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 45 divisional games, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.11 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.89.
The Atlanta hitters have put up 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .229/.304/.380 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led the Braves’ hitters this year. Markakis is hitting .316/.383/.475 with 10 home runs, 62 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Freeman’s line sits at .313/.397/.527 with 17 homers, 66 RBIs and 62 runs.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.57 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.15, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K/9 of 8.22.
Marlins hitters have slashed .244/.313/.365 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is slashing .287/.336/.406 with eight home runs, 40 RBIs and 62 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .283/.363/.413 with eight homers, 49 RBIs and 60 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 12.7 units and are 39-31 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 33 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under.
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Miami has recorded eight extra-base hits over its last five games. Atlanta has 15 XBH over its last five.
The Braves have dropped five of their last six games SU.
Atlanta has posted 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.0 over its last five.
Each team has hit eight home runs over its last 10 games.
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