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Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Free Preview 07/31/18

Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins are set to play host to the Cleveland Indians at Target Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will be airing the matchup.

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins Odds

Minnesota (+145) is coming into this one as the underdog against Cleveland (-155) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Indians -1.5 runs (-110) and Twins +1.5 runs (-110).

The Indians have gone 56-47 SU this year and are 50-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.3 units for moneyline bettors and 9.8 units ATS. Cleveland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 48-55 SU and 58-46 ATS. The team’s lost 10.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 9.5 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Minnesota games have a 50-51-3 over/under record in 2018. The Indians have been a decent over bet with a total record of 55-45-4.

Right-hander Trevor Bauer is the projected starter for the visiting Indians. Bauer is 9-6 with a 2.32 ERA and 192 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 11 strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA against Minnesota this year.

The Twins are putting the ball in the right hand of Kyle Gibson (5-7, 3.42 ERA, 1.21 WHIP), who’s got 126 strikeouts and 50 walks. Gibson is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.13 ERA across two starts against Cleveland this year.

Minnesota’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.32, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 36 games against divisional opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.85.

Minnesota’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .251/.324/.374 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar have led the Twins’ offense this year. Rosario is hitting .306/.348/.513 with 19 home runs, 64 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Escobar is hitting .274 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs.

In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.53 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.39 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.08, along with a WHIP of 1.17.

The Indians offense has slashed .257/.329/.441 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley continue to lead Cleveland’s hitters. Lindor is hitting .292/.368/.567 with 27 home runs, 66 RBIs, 90 runs and 15 stolen bases, while Brantley is hitting .304/.349/.476 with 12 homers, 57 RBIs and 58 runs scored.

The Indians have lost 17.2 units and are 35-41 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 6.8 units and are 39-35 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 39 of those games, compared to 33 that went under the total.

Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Cleveland has tallied 10 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Minnesota has 16 XBH over its last five.

The Indians have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit seven over their last 10.

The Cleveland defense has allowed seven errors over the last 10 games, compared to two errors for Minnesota over its last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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