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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Matchup 07/31/18

Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles will make a road trip to Yankee Stadium to face off against their division rival New York Yankees. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (-330) as the favorite over Baltimore (+265). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -110 for over 9 runs and -110 for under 9. The game’s current runline odds stand at +135 for betting the Orioles +1.5 runs and -155 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Yankees are 66-37 straight up (SU) and 53-51 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, gaining 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.1 units (ATS). New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Orioles are 31-74 SU and have gone 45-61 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 37.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 23.8 units ATS. Baltimore’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.

Yankees games have had an over/under record of 45-54-5 in 2018. Baltimore has also been a good under bet with a total record of 44-58-4.

Yefry Ramirez will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. Ramirez is 1-3 with a 3.49 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees are handing the ball to righty Masahiro Tanaka (8-2, 4.09 ERA), who’s got 92 strikeouts and 23 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.06. Tanaka is 1-1 with 19 strikeouts and a 5.63 ERA over three starts against Baltimore this year.

Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.23 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.21, along with a K/9 of 8.09.

The Orioles offense has slashed .233/.297/.389 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Adam Jones. Machado is hitting .315/.387/.575 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored. Jones has a .281 average with 11 homers, 43 RBIs and 41 runs scored.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.05, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.86, a WHIP of 1.10 and a K/9 of 11.5. In 44 games against divisional foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.08 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.92.

The New York hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .295/.364/.404 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge have paced the Yankees’ offense this year. Stanton is hitting .279/.345/.511 with 24 home runs, 63 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Judge’s line is .285/.398/.548 with 26 homers, 61 RBIs and 70 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 32.1 units and are 27-43 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Baltimore has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five outings. New York has 10 XBH over its last five.

Baltimore has recorded 25.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 31.4 over its last five.

The Orioles have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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