The Cleveland Indians will head west to take on their division rival Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET and the action will be televised on FB.
Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Minnesota (+165) is coming into this one as the underdog against Cleveland (-175) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Indians -1.5 runs (-120) and Twins +1.5 runs (+100).
The Indians have gone 56-47 SU this year and are 50-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.4 units for moneyline bettors and 10.8 units ATS. The Twins, on the other hand, are 48-55 SU and 59-46 ATS. They’ve lost 9.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 10.5 units ATS.
Minnesota games have a 50-52-3 over/under record in 2018. The Indians have been a decent over bet with a total record of 55-46-4.
The right-handed Carlos Carrasco is getting the nod for the visiting Indians. Carrasco is 12-5 with a 3.89 ERA and 128 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 11 strikeouts and a 7.50 ERA against Minnesota this year (three starts).
The Twins are sending righty Lance Lynn (7-8, 5.10 ERA) to the mound. Lynn has 100 strikeouts and 62 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.63. Lynn is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Cleveland this year.
Minnesota’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.32, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 36 games against AL Central opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.85.
Minnesota’s offense has produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .251/.324/.374 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar have paced the Twins’ batters this year. Rosario is hitting .306/.348/.513 with 19 home runs, 64 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Escobar’s line sits at .274/.338/.514 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.53 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.39 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.08, along with a K/9 of 8.68.
Indians hitters have slashed .257/.329/.441 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Cleveland’s offensive production has been sparked by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley, who have combined to belt 39 home runs. Lindor is slashing .292/.368/.567 with 27 home runs, 66 RBIs, 90 runs and 15 steals. Brantley is hitting .304/.349/.476 with 12 homers, 57 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 5.7 units and are 40-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 34 that’ve gone under against righty starters.
Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in five of Minnesota’s last seven games.
Minnesota has recorded 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24.0 over its last five.
The Indians have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit seven over their last 10.
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