The New York Yankees are making a road trip to Boston to face their AL East nemesis Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will televise the matchup. The game is slated to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Vegas is listing New York (+120) as the underdog to Boston (-130). The total is sitting at 10 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +105 or the under for -125. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -175 for the Yankees +1.5 runs and +155 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Red Sox are 73-33 straight up (SU) and 64-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 25.2 units for moneyline bettors and 18.2 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Yankees have gone 66-37 SU this year and are 54-51 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 4.3 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 2.1 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Boston games have an over/under record of 50-56-3 in 2018. The Yankees have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 46-54-5.
Luis Severino is getting the nod for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Severino is 14-4 with a 2.94 ERA and 157 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 23 strikeouts and a 3.57 ERA against Boston this year (three starts).
The Red Sox are handing the ball to lefty Chris Sale (11-4, 2.04 ERA), who’s got 207 strikeouts and 33 walks to his name, as well as a 0.87 WHIP. Sale is 2-0 with 19 strikeouts and a 0.69 ERA across two starts against New York this year.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.05 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.86, along with a K/9 of 11.53.
Yankees hitters have slashed .256/.336/.459 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge continue to lead New York’s hitters. Stanton is slashing .279/.345/.511 with 24 home runs, 63 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Judge has a .285 average with 26 homers, 61 RBIs and 70 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 3.61 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.42 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 47 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.09.
The Boston offense is putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .254/.337/.491 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is hitting .324/.387/.642 with 32 home runs, 86 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while the line for Betts stands at .346/.431/.666 with 25 homers, 56 RBIs, 83 runs and 20 stolen bases.
The Yankees have gained 14.7 units and are 15-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
New York has recorded 10 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Boston has 20 XBH over its last five.
Boston has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.4 over its last five.
The Yankees have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 13 over their last 10.
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