The Miami Marlins will head north to square off against their NL East foe Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The action will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will showcase the game.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Miami (+165) is entering this game as the underdog to Philadelphia (-175) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -135 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +115 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Phillies are 58-46 straight up (SU) and 50-57 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.7 units for moneyline bettors while earning 15.2 units (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins have gone 45-61 SU this year and are 58-51 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 4.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 5.0 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 47-55-5 in 2018. Miami has been a decent over bet with a total record of 57-50-2.
Trevor Richards will get the start for Miami. Richards is 3-5 with a 4.06 ERA and 71 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).
The Phillies will turn to righty Nick Pivetta (6-9, 4.85 ERA) to the mound. Pivetta has 134 punchouts and 32 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.33. Pivetta is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.85, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.94 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 39 games against divisional opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.54 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.37.
Philadelphia’s hitters have put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .242/.303/.510 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies’ batters this year. Herrera is hitting .273/.328/.464 with 19 home runs, 58 RBIs and 53 runs scored, and Hernandez’s line sits at .269/.374/.374 with eight homers, 35 RBIs, 66 runs and 14 steals.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.57 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.15, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K-per-9 of 8.22.
The Marlins offense has slashed .244/.313/.365 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is slashing .287/.336/.406 with eight home runs, 40 RBIs and 62 runs scored, while Anderson (.283/.363/.413) has produced eight homers, 49 RBIs and 60 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 6.7 units and are 40-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under against ies.
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
Miami has recorded 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.6 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 22 over their last 10.
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