The San Diego Padres will pay a visit to Chicago to face off against the Cubs at Wrigley Field. The game gets underway 2:20 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago is in line to showcase this NL matchup.
San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Padres are 42-65 SU and have gone 49-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.3 units for moneyline bettors and 31.1 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread just once over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 61-44 SU and 56-51 ATS. They’ve gained 1.1 units for moneyline bettors and 5.4 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Chicago games have a 51-55-1 over/under record in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 52-54-4.
Tyson Ross will get the nod for the visiting Padres. The right-handed Ross is 6-8 with a 4.41 ERA and 105 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Cubs will turn to lefty Jose Quintana (9-7, 4.26 ERA) to the mound. Quintana has 95 punchouts and 52 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.42. Quintana only made one start against the Padres in 2017 (0-0, 3.86 ERA and five strikeouts across seven innings).
San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.06 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.58 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.61, along with a K-per-9 of 9.66.
Padres hitters have slashed .232/.297/.366 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis have led San Diego’s offense. Hosmer is slashing .246/.311/.382 with 10 home runs, 42 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Galvis (.240/.297/.341) is up to five homers, 40 RBIs and 34 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.12, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 3.22 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.
The Chicago hitters have put up 5.1 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .262/.331/.427 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Javier Baez and left fielder Albert Almora Jr. have led the Cubs’ batters this year. Baez is hitting .299/.333/.573 with 22 home runs, 83 RBIs, 67 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Almora Jr.’s line is .306/.342/.417 with four homers, 30 RBIs and 50 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 11.2 units and are 10-23 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 7.2 units and are 41-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 40 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under.
San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in three of Chicago’s last seven games.
The Padres have lost five of their last six games SU.
Chicago has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.6 over its last five.
The Padres have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit eight over their last 10.
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