The Atlanta Braves are set to face their NL East foe New York Mets at Citi Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be televising the matchup.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Atlanta (-120) as the favorite over New York (+110). The total sits at 8 runs and bettors can wager on the over or the under for -110. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +125 for the Braves -1.5 runs and -145 for the Mets +1.5 runs.
The Mets are 44-62 straight up (SU) and 47-58 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 20.4 units for moneyline bettors and 17.6 units (ATS). New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Braves are 58-47 SU and have gone 55-49 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 15.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.6 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
New York games have a 45-55-5 over/under record in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 51-49-4.
Right-hander Kevin Gausman is getting the nod for the visiting Braves. Gausman is 5-8 with a 4.43 ERA and 104 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets will turn to righty Zack Wheeler (5-6, 4.11 ERA), who has 116 punchouts and 42 walks as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Wheeler is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 9.53 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.70 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.65 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.14, along with a WHIP of 1.26.
The Braves offense has slashed .260/.328/.423 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman continue to lead Atlanta’s hitters. Markakis is slashing .316/.384/.487 with 12 home runs, 67 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Freeman has a .315 average with 18 homers, 69 RBIs and 66 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitchers have yielded 4.7 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.10, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 5.01 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 42 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.96 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.11.
The New York offense has put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .196/.260/.344 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ batters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .237/.280/.357 with four homers, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and nine stolen bases.
The Braves have gained 13.7 units and are 40-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 13.1 units and are 34-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 33 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in five of Atlanta’s last seven games.
The Mets have dropped five of their last six games SU.
Atlanta fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to six errors for New York over its last 10.
Both teams have hit 11 home runs over their last 10 games.
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