The Philadelphia Phillies are traveling west to face the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets going at 9:40 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Philadelphia (+155) is coming into this one as the underdog to Arizona (-165) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The game’s current runline odds sit at -140 for picking the Phillies +1.5 runs and +120 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.
The Phillies have gone 63-48 SU this year and are 54-57 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 14.7 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 10.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 62-51 SU and 58-55 ATS. They’ve gained 4.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.9 units ATS. Arizona has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 54-54-5 in 2018. Philadelphia has been a decent under bet with a total record of 48-58-5.
Nick Pivetta will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Pivetta is 6-9 with a 4.75 ERA and 141 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 20.25 ERA and three strikeouts over 2.2 innings).
The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the hands of righty Zack Greinke (12-6, 2.96 ERA), who’s got 148 punchouts and 25 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.04. Greinke is 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 7.50 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.
As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.98, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.12, a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 7.9.
Arizona’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .287/.368/.470 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have led the Diamondbacks’ hitters this year. Peralta is slashing .293/.351/.497 with 17 home runs, 54 RBIs and 51 runs scored, and Goldschmidt’s line sits at .276/.388/.519 with 24 homers, 60 RBIs and 70 runs.
For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.75 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.89 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.82, along with a K-per-9 of 9.33.
The Phillies offense has slashed .238/.321/.398 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez continue to lead Philadelphia’s offense. Herrera is slashing .276/.333/.460 with 19 home runs, 60 RBIs and 53 runs scored. Hernandez (.261/.370/.370) is up to nine homers, 37 RBIs, 70 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 11.3 units and are 41-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 37 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 4.3 units and are 39-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 35 of those games, as opposed to 34 which went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Philadelphia has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Arizona has 15 XBH over its last five.
Philadelphia has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.4 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 13 over their last 10.
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