The New York Mets will head south to face their division rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Pix11 will televise the matchup and the game will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Odds
New York (-155) is entering this game as the favorite over Miami (+145) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this day game at 7.5 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Mets -1.5 runs (-110) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-110).
The Marlins are 60-57 against the spread (ATS), but just 47-69 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.0 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets have gone 47-65 SU this year and are 52-60 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 20.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 14.1 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 59-55-3 in 2018. The Mets have been a decent under bet with a total record of 49-58-5.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.53 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.19 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 44 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.92.
The Miami hitters are putting up 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .189/.213/.314 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ offense has been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .285/.364/.417 with nine home runs, 53 RBIs and 63 runs scored, while Castro’s line is .285/.331/.401 with nine homers, 41 RBIs and 65 runs.
For the visiting squad, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.05 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.08 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.85, along with a WHIP of 1.26.
Mets hitters have slashed .229/.311/.378 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and outfielder Michael Conforto, who’ve collectively blasted 32 home runs. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored. Conforto is hitting .233/.350/.395 with 14 homers, 39 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
New York Mets at Miami Marlins Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
New York has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has nine XBH over its last five.
The Marlins have dropped eight of their last nine games SU.
Miami has posted 16.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.2 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit eight over their last 10.
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